NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	3.6 [1103]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +3.9%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	1.5 [996]		LVP	T.J. Ford (MIL): -12.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.04	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	17	53%	0.08	3	-0.04	13	77%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	11	38%	-0.05	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	17	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	8	48%	0.05	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Robert Whaley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Owens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	6	36%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	46%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.6	33.3	14.8	30.1	1.0	28.3	135.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +12.3%

UTA +7.5%

UTA +20.9%

UTA +7.4%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	17.0	15.6	87.9	109.9	104.4
season	15.5	17.0		104.6	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	15.3	13.8	15.3	14.7
UTA	15.0	15.3	18.3	19.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	23	24	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-28	36	13.8	15.0	-1.22	19.7	16.0	3.79
Charlie Bell	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-19	18	14.6	14.7	-0.15	17.2	16.9	0.32
Andrew Bogut	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-23	26	13.0	16.1	-3.17	18.1	16.0	2.07
Dan Gadzuric	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-13	6	17.5	14.3	3.15	13.9	17.3	-3.43
Toni Kukoc	14	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-11	2	17.4	14.2	3.23	14.4	17.4	-3.00
Bobby Simmons	60	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-12	4	14.1	15.9	-1.79	17.4	16.1	1.38
Joe Smith	29	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-12	4	16.5	13.8	2.68	14.9	18.0	-3.06
Mo Williams	33	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-10	0	15.8	14.1	1.67	17.9	16.3	1.60
T.J. Ford	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-10	0	13.9	16.4	-2.51	16.8	17.2	-0.42
Jamaal Magloire	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	-1	-18	14.7	14.7	-0.04	16.5	17.7	-1.28
Michael Redd	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	-4	-12	14.6	15.0	-0.39	17.0	16.8	0.14
Jiri Welsch	45	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	3	-26	15.4	14.0	1.36	16.5	17.4	-0.84

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	47	47	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	-1	22	16.7	17.2	-0.57	14.8	14.6	0.24
Gordan Giricek	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	9	2	16.5	18.1	-1.64	14.8	14.4	0.38
Mehmet Okur	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	5	10	17.8	15.6	2.23	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Deron Williams	65	67	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	6	8	17.4	15.9	1.50	14.7	14.6	0.15
Matt Harpring	41	42	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	8	4	15.4	18.2	-2.76	15.8	13.8	1.99
Devin Brown	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	12	-4	18.2	15.4	2.76	13.8	15.8	-1.99
Milt Palacio	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	8	4	18.7	15.7	3.04	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Kris Humphries	30	30	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	14	-8	16.1	17.4	-1.28	14.6	14.7	-0.14
CJ Miles	12	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	17	-14	12.2	17.7	-5.42	16.0	14.5	1.49
Greg Ostertag	44	44	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	21	-22	17.2	16.7	0.57	14.6	14.8	-0.24
Robert Whaley	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	11.5	17.2	-5.71	15.5	14.7	0.84
Andre Owens	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	13.0	17.0	-4.04	14.5	14.7	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 78, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
PHI 101, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
HOU 87, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%