NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	87		Excitement	3.0 [1136]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +15.1%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.6 [1160]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -12.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	73%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Tracy Moore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	-0.00
Brent Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	87%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	13	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	6	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	16	45%	-0.06	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.00	8	100%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	79%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	8	19%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.5	21.5	16.5	26.4	2.8	26.2	117.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +35.4%

HOU -0.4%

DET +2.6%

DET +11.9%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.6	96.7	104.3	104.4
season	15.5	17.1		107.2	107.6
opponent	16.2	15.4		102.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.0	16.0	15.8	14.8	15.7
DET	14.6	15.3	16.9	17.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Moore	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-22	35	12.3	16.3	-3.95	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Brent Price	26	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-18	27	15.7	15.7	-0.05	17.8	15.1	2.68
Othella Harrington	42	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-8	7	17.1	14.4	2.73	16.3	15.7	0.61
Randy Livingston	36	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	18.1	14.1	4.04	17.9	14.7	3.24
Matt Maloney	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	5	-19	14.6	16.6	-1.94	14.3	17.3	-2.99
Sam Mack	72	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-10	11	14.7	19.7	-4.97	15.7	17.1	-1.45
Mario Elie	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	5	-19	16.3	14.0	2.36	15.8	16.4	-0.55
Hakeem Olajuwon	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	2	-13	15.6	15.9	-0.29	15.6	16.5	-0.92
Matt Bullard	35	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-9	9	15.0	16.1	-1.17	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Kevin Willis	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.16	-20	11	-31	15.7	15.7	0.05	15.9	16.0	-0.07

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	55	54	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	15.1	17.2	-2.15	16.9	13.9	3.00
Michael Curry	47	45	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	12	-15	16.5	15.4	1.09	15.8	15.6	0.13
Joe Dumars	54	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.26	20	-11	31	16.5	15.2	1.36	15.6	15.8	-0.13
Lindsey Hunter	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	-4	17	14.5	17.3	-2.79	14.8	16.5	-1.66
Aaron McKie	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	4	1	16.8	15.1	1.74	16.8	14.5	2.37
Otis Thorpe	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	-6	21	16.1	15.7	0.41	16.9	13.3	3.58
Grant Hill	62	61	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.19	16	-7	23	15.5	16.9	-1.45	16.4	14.1	2.34
Theo Ratliff	56	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	3	3	15.6	16.6	-1.03	13.7	18.8	-5.09
Randolph Childress	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	22	-35	15.6	16.0	-0.45	12.1	16.4	-4.28
Don Reid	10	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	20	-31	18.0	15.7	2.29	14.0	15.9	-1.88
Jerome Williams	11	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.40	-14	23	-37	20.0	15.4	4.59	13.3	16.0	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 81, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DET 101, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIN 74, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%