NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	2.8 [1215]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): +15.7%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	1.6 [929]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -6.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	6	53%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.19	-0.00	0.19	13	93%	0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	6	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	10	70%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	48%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	13	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.20	0.01	0.05	12	81%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.00	0.03	14	90%	0.16	3	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.07	9	52%	0.05	3	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.06	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	16	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	27.2	16.5	25.4	2.5	24.5	123.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.6%

WAS +8.2%

WAS +5.1%

WAS +3.6%

PHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	15.2	15.4	111.0	127.5	105.7
season	15.2	16.1		104.0	106.8
opponent	15.5	16.2		107.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	19.0	15.5	15.5	16.4
WAS	16.7	15.3	13.3	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-30	45	15.2	16.7	-1.54	16.9	14.8	2.15
Calvin Booth	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-13	11	12.4	16.8	-4.44	14.6	15.3	-0.74
Kevin Ollie	36	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.42	14	-29	43	14.6	17.6	-2.96	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Thaddeus Young	41	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.40	12	-27	39	15.0	17.6	-2.51	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Jason Smith	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.21	-13	-2	-11	15.2	17.1	-1.86	13.8	16.0	-2.12
Rodney Carney	41	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.48	10	-25	35	15.6	17.1	-1.49	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Reggie Evans	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-4	-7	17.9	15.3	2.62	16.1	14.5	1.66
Lou Williams	57	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-10	5	15.5	17.9	-2.41	15.2	15.3	-0.18
Andre Miller	44	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.32	-23	8	-31	18.1	14.9	3.17	15.6	14.9	0.64
Willie Green	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	1	-17	17.4	15.5	1.92	15.4	15.1	0.27
Samuel Dalembert	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.35	-25	10	-35	17.9	15.2	2.70	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Andre Iguodala	52	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.46	-31	16	-47	17.7	14.8	2.86	15.0	15.5	-0.46

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	53	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.45	31	-16	47	15.4	15.0	0.33	17.5	15.0	2.54
Antawn Jamison	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.34	25	-10	35	15.0	15.6	-0.61	16.9	15.3	1.60
Antonio Daniels	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.38	26	-11	37	15.1	15.5	-0.45	17.5	14.7	2.80
Caron Butler	49	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.47	28	-13	41	14.4	16.2	-1.85	17.1	15.6	1.55
Andray Blatche	56	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	17	-19	15.8	14.3	1.47	16.0	17.1	-1.10
Darius Songaila	50	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.42	-6	21	-27	16.5	13.7	2.84	16.1	16.8	-0.62
Nick Young	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.52	-12	27	-39	15.1	15.3	-0.15	14.8	17.8	-3.05
Brendan Haywood	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.43	20	-5	25	14.1	15.8	-1.62	17.4	16.0	1.45
Roger Mason Jr.	29	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.44	-15	30	-45	15.0	15.3	-0.27	14.2	17.5	-3.27
Dominic McGuire	25	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.59	-20	35	-55	15.3	15.2	0.08	14.9	17.0	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 80, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CLE 92, MIA 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NYK 83, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%