NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	3.3 [1098]		MVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): +5.1%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.7 [428]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -12.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.00	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.06
Lavor Postell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	18	51%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	89%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	4	33%	-0.04	4	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Glen Rice	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	11	26%	-0.08	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	12	44%	-0.08	2	-0.05	12	67%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	16	47%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	72%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	15	40%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	18	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	13	44%	0.00	5	-0.06	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	29.8	14.8	27.5	1.8	25.4	126.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +30.5%

NJN +3.7%

NJN +16.4%

NYK -4.6%

NJN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.5	91.2	104.3	100.9
season	16.4	15.5		99.2	97.8
opponent	15.1	16.1		103.0	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	17.8	16.6	14.1	16.1
NJN	14.2	12.9	16.1	18.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavor Postell	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	11.2	16.4	-5.18	19.7	15.1	4.59
Felton Spencer	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	11.2	16.4	-5.18	19.7	15.1	4.59
Othella Harrington	19	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-9	5	16.1	16.1	-0.06	16.4	15.1	1.35
Mark Jackson	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-3	-7	16.1	16.1	0.06	13.4	17.4	-4.04
Marcus Camby	73	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-3	-7	16.1	16.3	-0.22	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Allan Houston	72	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	16.2	15.9	0.26	15.7	14.2	1.48
Kurt Thomas	55	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	1	-15	16.7	15.1	1.63	14.1	17.3	-3.21
Glen Rice	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-7	1	16.1	16.0	0.10	16.5	14.1	2.33
Charlie Ward	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-7	1	15.9	16.3	-0.35	16.4	14.1	2.32
Latrell Sprewell	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	2	-17	16.3	14.1	2.21	15.0	18.4	-3.39

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	86	85	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	2	9	15.5	14.3	1.12	16.0	18.2	-2.21
Stephen Jackson	49	48	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	0	13	15.3	15.5	-0.16	16.9	15.3	1.60
Keith Van Horn	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	0	13	15.2	16.1	-0.83	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Kenyon Martin	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	5	3	14.8	17.2	-2.39	15.8	16.9	-1.07
Sherman Douglas	13	12	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	2	9	16.8	15.2	1.62	18.8	15.7	3.15
Stephon Marbury	79	79	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.19	2	11	-9	15.2	16.8	-1.62	15.7	18.8	-3.15
Evan Eschmeyer	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	4	5	15.0	15.6	-0.64	16.9	15.5	1.38
Aaron Williams	52	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	15	-17	16.6	13.8	2.84	15.6	16.8	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
DET 93, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	96.9%
DET 87, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.9%