NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	78		Excitement	3.2 [708]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +10.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.4 [612]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -16.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Anstey	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	86%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
A.C. Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	12	43%	-0.08	1	-0.01	13	46%	-0.06
Michael Finley	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.01	-0.03	15	33%	-0.09	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.00	0.04	12	92%	0.13	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.01	0.05	16	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	11	62%	0.05	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	11	18%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Andrae Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	30.1	15.8	25.3	2.4	26.5	125.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.1%

DAL -1.0%

MIN +6.2%

MIN +7.4%

MIN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.5	15.3	15.8	89.7	110.1	99.6
season	15.9	15.0		99.7	98.6
opponent	15.9	15.6		98.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	21.4	19.1	14.5	17.5
MIN	15.2	14.7	14.2	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	18	20	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-23	26	14.0	18.4	-4.41	14.8	15.4	-0.53
A.C. Green	9	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-18	16	15.8	17.7	-1.91	14.5	15.4	-0.81
Steve Nash	55	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-21	22	16.5	19.3	-2.83	16.0	13.9	2.03
Samaki Walker	31	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-12	4	17.8	17.3	0.43	14.1	15.9	-1.81
Erick Strickland	14	14	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-10	0	23.7	16.3	7.41	11.9	15.9	-4.04
Gary Trent	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-8	-4	17.3	17.8	-0.43	15.9	14.1	1.81
Shawn Bradley	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-9	-2	17.7	17.2	0.52	16.7	13.6	3.06
Chris Anstey	45	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-3	-14	17.7	17.3	0.40	13.9	16.8	-2.98
Hubert Davis	79	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.24	-23	3	-26	17.9	13.4	4.54	15.6	12.7	2.89
Michael Finley	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.14	-21	1	-22	17.4	18.1	-0.71	15.2	16.0	-0.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Hammonds	46	45	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-1	22	16.3	14.1	2.21	18.3	16.7	1.60
Dean Garrett	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	7	6	16.2	13.8	2.39	17.3	17.7	-0.37
Dennis Scott	57	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	4	12	14.6	16.5	-1.89	17.0	18.3	-1.29
Kevin Garnett	54	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.29	21	-1	22	14.6	16.2	-1.55	18.9	14.8	4.16
Terrell Brandon	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.08	13	7	6	15.0	15.7	-0.77	17.2	18.0	-0.79
Sam Mitchell	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	6	8	14.4	16.4	-2.03	17.6	17.4	0.20
Bobby Jackson	41	38	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	15	-10	15.9	14.7	1.10	17.9	17.2	0.71
Reggie Jordan	33	32	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	17	-14	16.4	14.6	1.80	17.8	17.3	0.50
Bill Curley	25	24	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	21	-22	13.4	16.0	-2.58	16.0	18.0	-2.01
Andrae Patterson	28	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	25	-30	15.8	15.0	0.82	15.1	18.5	-3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 80, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
IND 76, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 65, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%