inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 76 Excitement3.6 [1106] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +13.7%
Miami Heat 99 Comeback1.5 [1050] LVPPaul George (IND): -11.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
D.J. Augustin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Roy Hibbert0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.020.051167%0.083-0.06580%-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.022100%0.0210.002100%0.00
Orlando Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Hansbrough0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06520%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Lance Stephenson-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.02862%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Sam Young-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
George Hill-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011443%-0.002-0.032100%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0200%-0.012-0.0320%-0.03
David West-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.13-0.01-0.071542%0.036-0.09367%-0.01
Paul George-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.01-0.01932%-0.053-0.07450%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.140.020.021764%0.152-0.021694%0.04
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.02677%0.101-0.021100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.031751%0.084-0.067100%0.02
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01358%0.0200.00683%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02839%0.0000.00250%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
James Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.07-0.000.08480%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01430%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.0230%-0.051-0.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.080.000.011332%-0.071-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.53.035.720.038.03.046.0173.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +0.1%
MIA +12.3%
MIA +14.7%
MIA +19.3%
MIA +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game16.515.915.485.4111.2104.1
season16.115.7102.4110.2
opponent15.915.5102.499.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.118.218.616.416.5
MIA15.714.514.818.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Orlando Johnson670.00-0.500.50-0.031-242514.316.6-2.2817.715.71.97
Jeff Ayres220.00-0.500.500.06-2-211920.016.43.6217.515.91.64
Ben Hansbrough670.00-0.500.50-0.031-242514.316.6-2.2817.715.71.97
Gerald Green1819-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-252715.916.6-0.7218.915.13.88
Tyler Hansbrough1920-0.05-0.450.41-0.071-242515.316.8-1.5217.215.51.68
Roy Hibbert6969-0.19-0.310.130.02-7-16916.715.70.9216.314.32.00
Sam Young1111-0.25-0.250.000.07-11-12117.516.31.1311.016.6-5.59
D.J. Augustin2219-0.26-0.24-0.020.18-15-8-715.816.7-0.9114.316.3-2.01
Paul George6362-0.27-0.23-0.050.14-14-9-516.616.20.4315.816.1-0.30
George Hill6868-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-9-516.915.11.7916.314.51.80
Ian Mahinmi1818-0.31-0.19-0.130.10-14-9-515.316.8-1.4814.016.4-2.38
Lance Stephenson7374-0.41-0.09-0.330.14-19-4-1516.516.20.2615.617.4-1.81
David West7069-0.45-0.05-0.410.25-241-2516.815.31.5215.517.2-1.68

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh57570.430.070.37-0.061761114.917.7-2.7417.215.22.04
LeBron James74750.400.100.31-0.212121916.015.50.5216.913.93.09
Dwyane Wade65650.350.150.20-0.151761115.816.2-0.3716.715.90.80
Ray Allen38390.340.160.18-0.221941516.415.50.8716.516.40.05
Chris Andersen32330.250.250.01-0.22167916.115.80.3516.116.7-0.59
Mario Chalmers52520.240.26-0.020.12419-1515.616.3-0.6416.816.00.83
Norris Cole36360.220.28-0.05-0.271761116.715.31.3816.416.5-0.17
Mike Miller32330.130.37-0.24-0.02518-1315.616.1-0.4314.717.5-2.80
Udonis Haslem34330.120.38-0.250.03320-1715.616.1-0.4117.216.01.24
Rashard Lewis11100.000.50-0.500.06-225-2716.515.80.6312.716.9-4.24
James Jones760.000.50-0.500.03-124-2517.715.71.9714.316.6-2.28
Joel Anthony760.000.50-0.500.03-124-2517.715.71.9714.316.6-2.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 95, DAL 1140.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
SEA 74, BOS 1140.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
DAL 78, MIN 980.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%