inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 95 Excitement3.2 [1167] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +18.9%
Dallas Mavericks 114 Comeback1.6 [955] LVPAndrew Bogut (MIL): -6.3%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mo Williams0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.130.010.061182%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Toni Kukoc0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bobby Simmons0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01959%0.072-0.054100%0.01
Michael Redd0.000,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.010.031860%0.085-0.081292%0.02
Ervin Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jermaine Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reece Gaines0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01445%0.011-0.02333%-0.03
Jiri Welsch-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02569%-0.003-0.01367%-0.01
T.J. Ford-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.07729%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.01542%-0.013-0.06250%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.180.010.002173%0.233-0.04683%0.01
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.000.00490%0.0900.002100%0.01
Josh Howard0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.041750%0.0300.00887%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.010.031361%0.063-0.04786%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01567%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01175%0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0310%-0.0000.0020%-0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.04663%0.022-0.02771%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.732.916.528.81.825.4131.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +13.3%
DAL +11.3%
DAL +9.8%
DAL +11.3%
DAL +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDALNBAMILDALNBA
this game14.716.615.6104.4122.6104.4
season15.516.4104.6109.0
opponent15.615.5102.9106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.515.214.113.914.7
DAL15.116.115.919.516.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ervin Johnson670.00-0.500.50-0.093-222513.014.8-1.8022.316.16.15
Reece Gaines1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-253113.514.9-1.4021.515.75.77
Toni Kukoc2020-0.12-0.380.25-0.07-2-171515.114.50.6017.016.50.57
Jermaine Jackson912-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-171513.314.8-1.5021.315.95.43
T.J. Ford5858-0.15-0.350.210.09-8-11314.914.30.6416.716.50.19
Dan Gadzuric2626-0.15-0.350.200.02-6-13715.414.40.9815.916.9-0.94
Jiri Welsch4648-0.20-0.300.09-0.03-6-13713.116.3-3.1815.617.7-2.15
Mo Williams4343-0.29-0.21-0.080.15-15-4-1114.215.1-0.9415.018.0-3.07
Bobby Simmons6464-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.00-10-9-114.914.20.6516.716.30.37
Jamaal Magloire4648-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-14-5-915.114.30.7815.617.6-1.98
Andrew Bogut4749-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-17-2-1515.413.91.5017.116.01.10
Michael Redd7676-0.47-0.03-0.440.23-245-2915.012.92.1716.218.2-1.93

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki72710.380.120.26-0.2421-22316.517.0-0.5815.312.52.73
Jason Terry68660.380.120.26-0.091631316.117.9-1.7515.013.81.16
Josh Howard72700.380.120.25-0.121721516.118.3-2.1714.615.1-0.54
Devin Harris54530.340.160.19-0.07145917.215.81.4314.415.1-0.73
DeSagana Diop54530.330.170.15-0.3222-32516.916.20.7314.714.60.13
Adrian Griffin51500.280.220.060.07712-516.716.50.2314.814.60.17
Jerry Stackhouse37370.200.30-0.10-0.09109116.516.7-0.1514.914.50.35
Erick Dampier30300.180.32-0.150.06415-1114.717.5-2.7614.314.9-0.62
Keith Van Horn10110.040.46-0.42-0.05316-1316.016.7-0.6714.714.70.05
Josh Powell540.000.50-0.500.23-827-3521.416.35.0710.714.9-4.11
Darrell Armstrong540.000.50-0.500.23-827-3521.416.35.0710.714.9-4.11
DJ Mbenga760.000.50-0.500.09-322-2522.316.16.1513.014.8-1.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 94, UTA 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
DET 74, PHI 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
WAS 85, DET 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%