NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	3.5 [1131]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +11.6%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	1.0 [1282]		LVP	Kirk Snyder (UTA): -11.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	17	56%	0.04	2	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Randy Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	13	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	12	43%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	55%	-0.00	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	-0.07	1	-0.00	14	50%	-0.06
Howard Eisley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.19	-0.01	-0.09	9	27%	-0.06	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.03	8	90%	0.12	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	85%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.10	13	64%	0.05	7	-0.03	10	60%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	10	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	14	49%	-0.05	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	27.3	15.6	27.5	2.5	36.4	137.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.0%

GSW +10.5%

UTA -3.4%

GSW +6.2%

UTA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	17.1	13.4	15.5	93.7	112.8	104.0
season	16.7	15.0		102.3	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		104.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	20.8	18.0	13.4	17.1
GSW	11.8	11.0	15.5	15.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	64	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.21	3	-20	23	15.4	20.6	-5.29	14.6	10.8	3.78
Ben Handlogten	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-10	3	21.6	16.5	5.15	7.8	14.1	-6.29
Randy Livingston	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-10	3	19.5	16.7	2.84	10.7	13.8	-3.11
Keith McLeod	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-12	7	17.4	16.8	0.64	14.0	12.8	1.27
Matt Harpring	70	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-14	11	16.0	20.1	-4.12	14.5	10.2	4.32
Gordan Giricek	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-11	5	17.7	16.4	1.30	13.2	13.5	-0.32
Howard Eisley	50	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-5	-7	16.8	17.4	-0.64	12.8	14.0	-1.27
Mehmet Okur	57	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-5	-7	18.1	15.6	2.42	13.6	13.0	0.59
Kris Humphries	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	1	-19	17.2	16.9	0.23	12.9	14.2	-1.33
Kirk Snyder	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	1	-19	17.3	16.7	0.58	12.7	14.4	-1.68

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	-3	23	13.1	13.8	-0.71	16.5	18.2	-1.62
Baron Davis	70	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.10	16	1	15	13.2	13.8	-0.62	16.4	19.0	-2.58
Mike Dunleavy	63	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.28	22	-5	27	12.8	14.6	-1.80	16.2	19.2	-3.01
Troy Murphy	64	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	0	17	13.6	12.9	0.64	16.3	18.9	-2.61
Adonal Foyle	55	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	14	-11	14.1	12.3	1.82	17.2	16.9	0.27
Derek Fisher	54	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	11	-5	13.8	12.8	0.95	16.9	17.4	-0.54
Andris Biedrins	26	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.01	6	11	-5	12.2	13.8	-1.68	19.2	16.3	2.90
Rodney White	25	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	19	-21	13.4	13.4	0.04	19.1	16.4	2.67
Mickael Pietrus	36	35	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	22	-27	14.0	13.0	1.02	18.3	16.4	1.90
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	15	15	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	15	-13	13.1	13.4	-0.36	20.9	16.4	4.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 77, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
PHI 98, MIA 125	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
SAC 88, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1	96.4%