NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	3.1 [1128]		MVP	Danny Manning (PHX): +14.0%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	1.0 [1060]		LVP	Billy Owens (SAC): -9.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.05	23	69%	0.08	4	-0.02	12	100%	0.01
Duane Causwell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	23%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Tyus Edney	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	31%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	11	18%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	19	54%	-0.02	6	-0.08	3	67%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.02	14	82%	0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.00	0.04	13	78%	0.12	1	-0.02	10	90%	-0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	77%	0.07	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	64%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	18%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	8	22%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	10	55%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.6	27.1	15.4	27.3	2.5	31.3	132.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.9%

PHX +3.1%

SAC -4.9%

PHX +7.9%

PHX +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	15.0	15.6	95.7	109.9	104.4
season	15.4	14.6		102.4	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.2	17.2	16.1	14.1	16.4
PHX	12.6	12.7	17.4	17.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Causwell	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.31	10	-22	32	14.4	17.1	-2.68	18.0	14.1	3.81
Bobby Hurley	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-7	2	18.5	15.5	2.97	13.1	15.9	-2.87
Billy Owens	73	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-11	10	16.2	17.4	-1.23	15.9	11.3	4.60
Corliss Williamson	45	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-9	6	17.0	15.9	1.09	15.2	14.8	0.40
Tyus Edney	39	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	4	-20	16.3	16.6	-0.28	13.5	16.1	-2.54
Mitch Richmond	80	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-10	8	16.4	16.4	0.03	15.4	12.5	2.92
Kevin Gamble	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-7	2	14.7	18.5	-3.84	15.8	14.1	1.63
Michael Smith	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	2	-16	17.3	14.7	2.60	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Olden Polynice	64	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.19	-24	12	-36	16.7	15.8	0.90	14.2	16.8	-2.55

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Chapman	65	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-1	14	14.7	15.9	-1.21	17.0	15.1	1.91
Mark Bryant	56	54	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.18	17	-5	22	13.6	17.3	-3.68	16.3	16.7	-0.41
Kevin Johnson	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	3	6	15.2	14.4	0.82	16.4	16.6	-0.16
Joe Kleine	34	35	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	6	0	13.9	15.7	-1.73	16.4	16.5	-0.03
Wesley Person	40	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	11	-10	15.3	14.8	0.50	15.3	17.4	-2.18
Danny Manning	54	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.40	-5	17	-22	16.6	12.8	3.77	16.9	15.8	1.12
Hot Rod Williams	56	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	6	0	15.9	13.6	2.31	16.7	16.0	0.69
Wayman Tisdale	25	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	10	-8	16.0	14.7	1.29	16.5	16.4	0.05
Steve Nash	24	25	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	9	-6	14.4	15.2	-0.82	16.6	16.4	0.16
Robert Horry	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	5	2	14.5	15.3	-0.81	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Loren Meyer	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	9.0	15.2	-6.16	8.0	16.6	-8.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 101, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIL 77, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
GSW 77, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%