NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	77		Excitement	3.0 [1206]		MVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): +8.6%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.0 [1094]		LVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): -10.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	7	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.07	12	58%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.04	20	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	61%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	68%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.03	7	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	17	41%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zabian Dowdell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	-0.09	9	50%	0.01	9	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.8	27.4	16.5	26.3	2.4	27.5	126.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.3%

PHX +0.2%

PHX +2.0%

MIL -2.2%

MIL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	15.5	15.5	87.5	103.4	105.7
season	16.2	14.5		100.1	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		109.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.4	17.5	17.0	15.2	17.0
PHX	15.9	13.8	15.7	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	19	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-10	5	15.5	17.4	-1.98	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Jon Brockman	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-20	25	16.7	17.2	-0.47	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Earl Boykins	41	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-15	15	16.1	17.8	-1.64	16.3	14.9	1.39
John Salmons	21	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-11	7	18.6	16.5	2.10	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Ersan Ilyasova	61	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-9	3	17.7	15.5	2.17	15.5	15.5	0.07
Corey Maggette	53	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-11	7	17.0	17.0	-0.01	15.9	14.9	0.95
Chris Douglas-Roberts	49	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-9	3	16.6	17.6	-1.06	14.5	16.8	-2.29
Brandon Jennings	46	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	-2	-11	17.7	16.3	1.36	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Carlos Delfino	52	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.25	-22	7	-29	17.0	17.1	-0.15	15.9	15.1	0.81
Luc Mbah a Moute	72	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	5	-25	17.0	17.2	-0.28	16.0	13.3	2.70

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	-5	25	16.3	13.5	2.83	17.6	15.5	2.09
Channing Frye	64	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.13	19	-4	23	16.3	13.4	2.90	17.6	15.5	2.10
Jared Dudley	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	3	9	15.6	15.4	0.17	16.7	17.7	-0.98
Grant Hill	52	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	-4	23	16.2	14.6	1.60	17.9	15.8	2.11
Marcin Gortat	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	11	-7	15.9	14.7	1.24	16.7	17.8	-1.06
Vince Carter	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	0	15	14.9	16.0	-1.06	18.9	15.6	3.39
Mickael Pietrus	37	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.32	-8	23	-31	15.0	15.9	-0.90	14.6	18.6	-4.02
Hakim Warrick	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	19	-23	13.4	16.3	-2.90	15.5	17.6	-2.10
Zabian Dowdell	24	23	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	20	-25	13.5	16.3	-2.83	15.5	17.6	-2.09
Robin Lopez	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	12	-9	14.6	15.8	-1.20	17.2	17.0	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1	96.9%
MEM 94, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHX 103, GSW 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%