NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	2.6 [1250]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +7.3%
Denver Nuggets	115		Comeback	1.0 [1277]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -9.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Antonio Burks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.16	0.00	0.19	13	76%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.07	13	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	10	38%	-0.05	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	22	70%	0.12	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.04	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	87%	0.09	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	10	75%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	13	57%	0.04	5	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	28.6	15.7	29.1	2.5	28.2	127.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +44.7%

MEM -2.7%

DEN +7.2%

DEN +0.3%

DEN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	16.2	13.7	15.6	105.2	118.6	104.4
season	17.1	14.4		103.5	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		103.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.0	17.3	16.2	14.1	16.2
DEN	12.4	12.7	12.6	17.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Roberts	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	13.0	16.3	-3.30	16.5	13.5	2.96
Anthony Roberson	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	13.0	16.3	-3.30	16.5	13.5	2.96
Antonio Burks	28	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-26	38	14.5	16.9	-2.40	16.2	12.6	3.54
Hakim Warrick	35	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-21	28	15.9	16.4	-0.49	15.1	12.8	2.28
Lorenzen Wright	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-20	26	16.7	15.9	0.76	14.5	13.1	1.38
Bobby Jackson	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-17	20	16.5	15.8	0.78	14.8	12.3	2.56
Jake Tsakalidis	35	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-1	-12	16.5	16.0	0.54	12.3	14.4	-2.15
Chucky Atkins	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	1	-16	16.0	16.4	-0.36	11.7	15.2	-3.50
Pau Gasol	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.24	-18	4	-22	16.4	16.0	0.44	12.9	14.4	-1.55
Mike Miller	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-3	-8	16.3	16.0	0.33	13.2	14.3	-1.17
Dahntay Jones	78	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	3	-20	16.3	15.8	0.52	13.8	13.1	0.66
Shane Battier	59	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.22	-22	8	-30	16.4	15.9	0.54	12.8	15.1	-2.22

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	67	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	-5	24	13.4	14.2	-0.78	16.7	15.0	1.69
Ruben Patterson	70	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	6	2	13.7	13.4	0.30	15.4	18.4	-3.05
Carmelo Anthony	69	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	-2	18	13.1	15.0	-1.93	16.7	14.9	1.84
Marcus Camby	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	-1	16	13.1	14.7	-1.63	16.6	15.4	1.25
Greg Buckner	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	3	8	13.5	13.8	-0.21	16.7	15.7	0.98
Earl Boykins	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	15	-16	14.8	12.2	2.55	16.4	16.0	0.43
Reggie Evans	42	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	16	-18	14.2	13.3	0.94	16.3	16.1	0.21
Francisco Elson	44	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	7	0	12.4	14.7	-2.37	15.5	16.7	-1.20
Linas Kleiza	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	17	-20	15.7	13.2	2.58	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Howard Eisley	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	16.0	13.5	2.47	12.2	16.4	-4.12
DerMarr Johnson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	16.0	13.5	2.47	12.2	16.4	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 73, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
TOR 89, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MIA 74, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%