inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 73 Excitement2.7 [1235] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +13.0%
Miami Heat 94 Comeback1.0 [1267] LVPAndre Iguodala (PHI): -7.4%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Turner0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.000.021075%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01650%0.0110.002100%0.01
Tony Battie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02175%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Spencer Hawes-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02325%-0.021-0.0120%-0.02
Lou Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00835%-0.0300.00786%0.02
Thaddeus Young-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.012042%-0.052-0.00367%0.01
Marreese Speights-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.0250%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jrue Holiday-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.000.031346%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Elton Brand-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00525%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Andre Iguodala-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.16-0.00-0.09828%-0.055-0.03250%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.150.010.031372%0.1300.003100%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.160.000.071960%0.1000.001080%-0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.030.01658%0.0400.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03340%0.0200.00450%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02287%0.041-0.02475%-0.00
Jamaal Magloire00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05333%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01736%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.031148%0.015-0.05786%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.10-0.00-0.05714%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.529.518.428.43.330.5139.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +44.6%
MIA +5.0%
MIA +1.2%
PHI -1.9%
MIA +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIMIANBAPHIMIANBA
this game15.617.315.583.9106.8105.7
season15.516.0104.6109.0
opponent15.615.5102.3103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI14.318.416.912.915.6
MIA17.015.917.419.017.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marreese Speights1718-0.01-0.490.47-0.134-252913.216.1-2.9715.417.8-2.38
Tony Battie2223-0.04-0.460.410.02-2-191715.815.50.3418.417.01.42
Spencer Hawes2322-0.22-0.280.060.07-10-11115.115.7-0.6518.616.91.67
Lou Williams4342-0.23-0.270.040.00-8-13515.215.9-0.7018.316.51.85
Evan Turner4849-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.05-7-14714.616.7-2.0917.417.30.06
Jodie Meeks5052-0.25-0.25-0.010.01-9-12314.117.5-3.3517.417.30.11
Elton Brand5656-0.30-0.20-0.090.23-18-3-1516.314.31.9817.117.8-0.79
Thaddeus Young5152-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-9-315.515.7-0.1817.517.10.44
Jrue Holiday6161-0.43-0.07-0.350.25-232-2516.712.83.8816.618.9-2.29
Andre Iguodala6465-0.43-0.07-0.350.16-20-1-1916.712.54.1917.217.9-0.72

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh65630.410.090.33-0.172011917.317.4-0.1315.715.20.55
LeBron James71700.400.100.31-0.3024-32717.217.9-0.7416.113.42.75
Dwyane Wade63630.400.100.30-0.071651117.018.1-1.0916.114.11.99
Joel Anthony48470.340.160.19-0.10156917.017.8-0.8016.414.51.88
Mike Bibby48460.340.160.17-0.131651116.917.8-0.9316.414.61.76
James Jones43430.230.27-0.050.02714-717.417.30.0615.715.50.17
Mario Chalmers40410.160.34-0.170.02516-1117.816.90.9314.616.4-1.76
Zydrunas Ilgauskas34340.160.34-0.19-0.11912-317.317.4-0.0315.615.50.04
Mike Miller560.050.45-0.40-0.01219-1719.217.21.9714.215.7-1.50
Eddie House11100.010.49-0.480.10-324-2717.617.30.3412.016.0-4.03
Jamaal Magloire660.000.50-0.500.09-324-2720.317.13.218.716.1-7.41
Juwan Howard660.000.50-0.500.09-324-2720.317.13.218.716.1-7.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 101, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,197.6%
CLE 88, TOR 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
CHA 76, SAS 1040.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%