inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 76 Excitement2.5 [1266] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +7.9%
San Antonio Spurs 104 Comeback1.0 [1302] LVPBrevin Knight (CHA): -12.8%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Carroll0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.000.03781%0.0610.00250%-0.00
Kevin Burleson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Primoz Brezec-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.041250%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Alan Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01150%-0.001-0.012100%0.00
Jumaine Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.000.051162%0.012-0.022100%0.00
Jake Voskuhl-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.02743%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Melvin Ely-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00847%-0.023-0.03333%-0.01
Bernard Robinson-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02617%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Raymond Felton-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.031533%-0.052-0.0200%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.01-0.021223%-0.082-0.052100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.01870%0.112-0.034100%0.01
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.024100%0.062-0.022100%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.031171%0.082-0.042100%0.01
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.011060%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.04440%0.0400.002100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01850%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.01750%0.031-0.02250%-0.00
Melvin Sanders0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06580%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.01850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06575%0.0000.00250%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.03837%-0.024-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.825.316.422.52.424.6118.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +48.5%
SAS +6.1%
CHA -0.5%
CHA -5.6%
SAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHASASNBACHASASNBA
this game15.416.615.684.4115.6104.4
season14.816.3100.5106.0
opponent15.615.499.4104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA13.417.815.614.915.4
SAS17.915.014.419.416.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Burleson2425-0.01-0.490.470.16-6-221614.215.8-1.5718.715.82.88
Melvin Ely5250-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-272614.416.8-2.4517.116.01.08
Alan Anderson2930-0.12-0.380.250.29-14-14017.414.43.0218.715.53.15
Jake Voskuhl3333-0.17-0.330.160.10-9-191014.915.7-0.8217.516.11.44
Matt Carroll4544-0.18-0.320.140.23-14-14014.915.9-0.9316.816.40.43
Brevin Knight4445-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-14015.415.40.0216.017.2-1.20
Jumaine Jones6565-0.37-0.13-0.250.18-19-9-1015.515.20.2816.417.2-0.89
Raymond Felton5554-0.38-0.12-0.250.18-19-9-1014.916.1-1.2215.917.7-1.87
Bernard Robinson5152-0.42-0.08-0.350.25-23-5-1816.014.71.2915.218.4-3.20
Primoz Brezec5252-0.44-0.06-0.380.18-21-7-1416.414.02.3816.117.3-1.15

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic35340.370.130.24-0.131711615.117.5-2.3816.115.01.06
Tony Parker47460.360.140.22-0.081513216.217.0-0.8115.215.6-0.37
Tim Duncan47470.340.160.18-0.161711615.917.4-1.5716.114.71.39
Nick Van Exel33340.320.180.14-0.151612416.216.9-0.7115.115.6-0.45
Bruce Bowen36350.320.180.13-0.151612416.216.8-0.5815.315.4-0.09
Beno Udrih45430.180.32-0.14-0.201315-216.316.9-0.6216.014.91.15
Michael Finley49490.180.32-0.14-0.09919-1016.816.30.5215.615.20.33
Fabricio Oberto43430.160.34-0.18-0.161117-617.415.91.5714.716.1-1.39
Brent Barry40430.140.36-0.22-0.13919-1016.416.8-0.4115.415.4-0.05
Nazr Mohammed38390.120.38-0.250.03325-2217.116.20.9215.415.40.06
Melvin Sanders20200.010.49-0.49-0.17622-1619.415.83.6614.815.6-0.77
Sean Marks17170.000.50-0.49-0.23820-1218.416.22.2314.015.7-1.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 73, MIA 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
POR 98, DEN 1240.5,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
BKN 95, ATL 1090.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%