NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	2.8 [1207]		MVP	Tyler Johnson (MIA): +11.2%
Miami Heat	125		Comeback	1.0 [1234]		LVP	Jahlil Okafor (PHI): -11.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	78%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	10	71%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Dario Saric	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	12	42%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	12	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	44%	-0.02	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Jahlil Okafor	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	-0.06	11	27%	-0.05	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	12	75%	0.12	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	-0.07	13	52%	0.09	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	90%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.19	0.00	0.14	9	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	68%	0.07	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Okaro White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.02	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	26.5	15.4	23.5	2.4	29.6	124.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +30.6%

PHI -0.8%

MIA +5.0%

MIA +12.7%

MIA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	12.9	14.9	14.8	94.2	121.4	107.7
season	14.5	15.4		101.9	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.4		105.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.6	14.5	12.1	12.8	12.9
MIA	14.0	16.2	12.8	17.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	23	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-22	17	14.3	12.6	1.69	15.4	14.7	0.70
Richaun Holmes	55	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.20	-11	-16	5	12.0	14.0	-1.96	16.1	13.6	2.44
Sergio Rodriguez	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-17	7	11.5	13.8	-2.33	15.7	14.4	1.21
Justin Anderson	54	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-21	15	12.7	13.2	-0.53	16.0	13.6	2.39
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-18	9	11.5	14.6	-3.12	13.9	16.0	-2.11
Robert Covington	59	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.27	-19	-8	-11	12.8	13.1	-0.22	14.1	15.9	-1.84
Dario Saric	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-13	-1	13.9	11.7	2.18	14.6	15.3	-0.70
T.J. McConnell	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	-8	-11	13.8	11.3	2.45	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Nik Stauskas	56	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.39	-26	-1	-25	13.2	12.6	0.55	15.7	14.1	1.62
Jahlil Okafor	49	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	-11	-5	14.0	12.0	1.96	13.6	16.1	-2.44

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	49	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	11	5	13.6	16.1	-2.44	14.2	11.8	2.42
Hassan Whiteside	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	16	-5	13.4	16.3	-2.86	13.7	12.3	1.42
Josh Richardson	50	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.33	21	6	15	16.6	13.3	3.24	12.8	13.0	-0.20
Okaro White	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.32	20	7	13	16.7	13.1	3.56	12.7	13.2	-0.46
Tyler Johnson	60	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.28	18	9	9	15.7	13.8	1.93	11.6	14.8	-3.19
James Johnson	52	55	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.19	15	12	3	15.9	13.8	2.08	12.1	13.9	-1.81
Dion Waiters	54	56	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	21	-15	13.2	16.7	-3.47	12.7	13.2	-0.49
Wayne Ellington	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.27	16	11	5	17.0	12.9	4.10	13.0	12.9	0.07
Rodney McGruder	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	23	-19	13.0	16.4	-3.36	13.7	12.4	1.32
Luke Babbitt	52	51	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	19	-11	13.5	16.3	-2.77	13.4	12.5	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 82, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
LAC 95, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
LAC 87, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%