NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	8.4 [224]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +34.8%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	1.7 [801]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -25.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.03	15	87%	0.37	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	0.01	21	43%	-0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	16	34%	-0.11	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.35	0.35	0.17	0.19	0.01	28	66%	0.42	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.11	-0.01	9	32%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	11	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	14	47%	-0.10	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	3.6	27.2	18.6	25.6	4.0	37.0	138.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +31.1%

GSW +9.8%

GSW +4.4%

GSW +1.9%

GSW +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.5	106.6	107.5	104.0
season	14.7	15.0		108.1	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.7	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.2	13.6	15.0	16.5	15.0
GSW	14.2	15.2	19.2	17.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	18	16	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.23	-6	3	-9	17.2	14.5	2.73	13.2	16.9	-3.71
Corliss Williamson	21	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	14.0	15.3	-1.28	15.7	16.4	-0.65
Peja Stojakovic	78	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-8	13	15.0	15.0	0.04	16.5	14.8	1.74
Brian Skinner	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-7	11	16.2	13.4	2.72	16.6	15.7	0.93
Darius Songaila	52	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	4	-11	15.3	14.7	0.64	16.7	15.7	1.02
Cuttino Mobley	76	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-9	15	15.3	13.7	1.64	16.8	13.3	3.50
Maurice Evans	28	29	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	14	-31	14.3	15.4	-1.08	14.1	17.2	-3.18
Kenny Thomas	56	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	0	-3	14.1	16.6	-2.50	15.7	17.2	-1.56
Mike Bibby	73	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.64	3	-6	9	14.5	17.2	-2.73	16.9	13.2	3.71

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	84	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-10	23	15.8	20.4	-4.63	15.5	10.6	4.97
Adonal Foyle	50	49	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	16.4	16.0	0.39	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Baron Davis	80	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.59	-4	7	-11	17.1	11.3	5.75	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Troy Murphy	62	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	0	3	16.0	16.9	-0.92	15.1	14.9	0.15
Mike Dunleavy	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.29	2	1	1	16.0	16.8	-0.85	14.8	15.5	-0.71
Zarko Cabarkapa	33	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	3	-3	16.6	16.1	0.49	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Andris Biedrins	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	4	-5	16.7	16.0	0.75	15.6	14.7	0.93
Mickael Pietrus	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	3	-3	16.1	16.3	-0.21	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Derek Fisher	48	48	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	5	-7	15.8	16.8	-1.01	14.9	15.2	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.76,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.84,1	92.1%
UTA 97, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.77,0.9,0.99,1	92.1%
CLE 84, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.83,1	92.1%