NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	8.3 [209]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +6.8%
Detroit Pistons	85		Comeback	1.1 [1003]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -34.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Trajan Langdon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.03	0.02	0.07	5	64%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	9	54%	0.13	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.02
Chris Mihm	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	14	50%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	10	39%	-0.08	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
Lamond Murray	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.35	-0.06	-0.28	0.01	12	44%	-0.16	2	-0.18	3	33%	-0.18

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	15	59%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	13	52%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Victor Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	14	43%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.05
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	8	45%	-0.06	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24	-0.24	-0.10	-0.14	0.00	16	44%	-0.09	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	26.1	15.5	29.4	2.5	39.2	137.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -1.7%

DET +6.8%

DET +30.1%

DET +17.6%

CLE -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.6	89.4	89.5	102.3
season	15.8	15.7		102.6	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.8	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	18.4	13.8	15.3	15.2
DET	15.0	15.2	17.5	13.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	2	-5	17.3	14.6	2.71	13.4	15.8	-2.42
Lamond Murray	53	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.24	5	-6	11	14.8	15.7	-0.92	16.5	13.6	2.91
Andre Miller	71	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	1	-3	15.7	13.6	2.12	16.3	12.1	4.13
Chris Mihm	13	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	2	-5	17.1	14.9	2.16	14.8	15.3	-0.55
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	32	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	8	-17	15.2	15.2	0.01	17.4	14.3	3.17
Trajan Langdon	20	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-3	5	14.8	15.3	-0.46	13.3	15.7	-2.43
Jumaine Jones	59	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-6	11	15.5	14.8	0.70	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Ricky Davis	62	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-4	7	14.6	16.4	-1.76	14.1	17.4	-3.26
Tyrone Hill	76	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-2	3	15.0	16.2	-1.25	14.7	17.3	-2.57
Wesley Person	64	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	3	-7	14.7	16.4	-1.74	15.4	14.9	0.48

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	66	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-6	13	15.3	15.3	-0.02	15.3	15.0	0.30
Damon Jones	45	44	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.47	1	0	1	14.5	16.0	-1.51	16.5	14.1	2.46
Jon Barry	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	-1	3	15.4	14.6	0.79	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Ben Wallace	84	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.46	-2	3	-5	15.4	14.0	1.43	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Corliss Williamson	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	0	1	15.4	15.0	0.42	15.9	14.0	1.95
Michael Curry	72	73	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	1	-1	15.1	15.9	-0.80	14.7	17.1	-2.49
Chucky Atkins	50	50	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	1	-1	16.0	14.5	1.51	14.1	16.5	-2.46
Victor Alexander	18	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	5	-9	14.2	15.5	-1.28	17.5	14.8	2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.82,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,1	92.7%
SAS 99, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.81,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.91,1	92.5%
SAC 97, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.76,0.83,1	92.1%