NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	6.0 [651]		MVP	Travis Best (NJN): +24.7%
New Jersey Nets	104		Comeback	1.2 [1026]		LVP	Rodney Buford (NJN): -14.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	9	76%	0.11	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Ricky Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Walter McCarty	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	16	56%	0.03	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Al Jefferson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	9	40%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Raef LaFrentz	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	6	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.07	-0.01	11	89%	0.28	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	20	56%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	56%	0.00	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	14	42%	-0.04	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	33.6	14.8	29.4	1.5	40.4	145.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.6%

NJN +3.5%

NJN +12.0%

NJN +0.2%

BOS -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.5	108.9	114.3	104.0
season	14.4	16.0		104.7	99.2
opponent	15.6	16.0		101.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.0	14.8	15.9	15.1	15.4
NJN	17.4	15.8	16.9	15.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	17	17	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-9	12	12.9	16.0	-3.09	18.5	15.9	2.58
Jiri Welsch	40	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-3	0	17.4	13.9	3.47	16.6	16.1	0.50
Walter McCarty	17	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-5	4	13.2	16.0	-2.72	12.6	17.2	-4.66
Delonte West	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-4	2	15.5	15.4	0.06	17.7	16.2	1.49
Al Jefferson	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-8	10	16.9	14.5	2.36	15.7	16.8	-1.12
Marcus Banks	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	12.9	16.1	-3.17	16.3	16.4	-0.14
Tony Allen	22	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-2	-2	14.3	15.8	-1.49	14.7	16.9	-2.17
Mark Blount	48	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	3	-12	16.0	14.8	1.19	16.9	15.8	1.12
Paul Pierce	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-5	4	15.8	12.9	2.92	16.6	14.8	1.78
Raef LaFrentz	42	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	15.5	15.4	0.06	17.9	15.0	2.91
Gary Payton	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-2	-2	15.9	14.1	1.73	16.1	17.2	-1.13
Ricky Davis	54	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	14.3	17.2	-2.92	15.9	17.1	-1.20

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	61	62	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-11	28	16.5	16.1	0.46	15.9	14.4	1.58
Jason Collins	59	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	0	6	16.8	15.7	1.11	16.1	14.0	2.08
Jason Kidd	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	4	-2	16.6	15.1	1.54	15.7	14.1	1.54
Nenad Krstic	63	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	3	0	17.6	13.6	4.00	16.0	14.1	1.89
Travis Best	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	7	-8	16.1	17.1	-1.01	14.4	17.7	-3.24
Rodney Buford	56	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	0	6	15.6	17.6	-1.99	15.9	14.7	1.19
Billy Thomas	27	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	5	-4	16.1	16.5	-0.37	13.9	16.1	-2.22
Brian Scalabrine	20	19	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	4	-2	14.8	16.8	-2.02	15.1	15.5	-0.43
Jacque Vaughn	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	8	-10	14.6	16.6	-2.06	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Jerome Moiso	3	2	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	5	-4	8.7	16.6	-7.97	19.5	15.4	4.15
Jabari Smith	14	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	11	-16	17.6	16.1	1.50	11.8	16.1	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.9,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.9,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.93,1	94.2%
CHA 91, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
TOR 98, CHH 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%