NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	91		Excitement	4.7 [874]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): +13.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	100		Comeback	1.2 [836]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (CHA): -19.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	15	68%	0.16	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
PJ Hairston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	17	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	9	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.06	0.07	13	42%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.01	12	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	17	63%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	4	83%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russ Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	18	44%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	6	25%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	25.1	15.4	25.1	2.4	25.3	121.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +27.1%

NOP +3.7%

NOP +11.6%

NOP +4.9%

NOP +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOP	NBA	CHA	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.1	97.8	106.4	104.2
season	15.6	15.8		98.9	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		106.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.0	13.7	17.1	14.4	15.5
NOP	13.0	15.1	13.6	19.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	31	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.11	8	-17	25	13.8	16.4	-2.61	13.2	16.2	-2.96
Brian Roberts	43	42	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-15	21	15.0	16.1	-1.11	14.6	15.8	-1.24
Gary Neal	55	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.38	12	-21	33	13.8	18.1	-4.37	15.8	14.5	1.27
Cody Zeller	48	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-8	7	15.0	16.1	-1.13	14.0	16.5	-2.51
PJ Hairston	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-1	-7	16.6	15.1	1.47	13.7	15.9	-2.23
Lance Stephenson	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	7	-23	17.0	14.1	2.90	13.9	16.6	-2.67
Gerald Henderson	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	15.6	15.5	0.12	16.5	13.0	3.53
Marvin Williams	50	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	2	-13	16.3	14.7	1.63	16.2	14.1	2.05
Kemba Walker	50	52	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	6	-21	16.1	15.0	1.11	15.8	14.6	1.24
Al Jefferson	57	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	5	-19	16.3	14.4	1.94	16.4	13.2	3.26

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-9	27	15.6	14.3	1.32	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Eric Gordon	53	54	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	-8	25	14.8	15.9	-1.10	17.0	13.5	3.51
Tyreke Evans	57	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-4	17	16.4	13.4	3.01	16.1	14.7	1.45
Omer Asik	52	51	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	-4	17	15.4	15.1	0.29	17.5	13.1	4.43
Jrue Holiday	68	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	0	9	15.4	14.9	0.51	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Austin Rivers	65	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	11	-13	15.7	14.2	1.47	14.3	18.2	-3.87
Ryan Anderson	52	51	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	15	-21	16.0	14.3	1.67	14.3	17.0	-2.73
Jimmer Fredette	30	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	12	-15	13.2	16.2	-3.07	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Russ Smith	9	9	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	16	-23	13.2	15.5	-2.25	14.2	15.7	-1.47
Alexis Ajinca	13	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	16	-23	10.0	16.1	-6.10	13.1	15.9	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 84, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.3%
MIA 78, SAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ATL 87, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%