NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	4.9 [842]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +25.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	1.5 [787]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): -14.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	6	77%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	11	52%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	18	51%	0.02	5	-0.10	13	69%	0.02
Marvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	14	35%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Josh Childress	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.20	0.05	-0.01	16	76%	0.28	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	12	76%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.03	12	54%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	5	36%	-0.00	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	9	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	11	42%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	31.3	15.4	30.3	1.8	32.4	137.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +47.2%

ATL -4.3%

ATL -10.3%

CHA +18.6%

ATL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.4	87.0	103.1	104.5
season	16.1	15.7		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.6	15.5	14.6	14.0	14.7
CHA	14.2	13.9	14.8	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	34	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-18	22	14.4	14.8	-0.44	14.9	14.1	0.76
Royal Ivey	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	0.0	14.8	-14.82	16.5	14.4	2.12
Salim Stoudamire	51	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-18	22	14.0	15.4	-1.45	14.6	14.2	0.40
Tyronn Lue	37	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-13	12	16.1	13.8	2.33	13.5	15.0	-1.45
Shelden Williams	16	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-13	12	17.9	14.0	3.89	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Marvin Williams	77	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-3	-8	13.8	17.7	-3.99	14.8	13.2	1.59
Anthony Johnson	55	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	13.9	15.6	-1.77	15.0	13.7	1.27
Josh Childress	85	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	2	-18	15.1	12.2	2.91	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Zaza Pachulia	56	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	5	-24	14.6	14.8	-0.22	14.0	14.9	-0.85
Josh Smith	88	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.09	-17	3	-20	15.1	11.6	3.51	14.3	15.4	-1.11

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	89	91	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.01	23	-9	32	14.1	18.0	-3.94	15.1	10.2	4.89
Matt Carroll	72	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.03	21	-7	28	14.1	15.2	-1.05	15.0	13.8	1.17
Raymond Felton	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	3	8	14.9	13.3	1.60	14.3	15.6	-1.24
Jake Voskuhl	30	31	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	3	8	13.7	14.7	-0.99	14.9	14.6	0.38
Adam Morrison	49	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	8	-2	13.9	14.9	-1.00	15.3	14.0	1.27
Walter Herrmann	54	55	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	16	-18	15.4	13.2	2.24	13.3	16.3	-2.98
Brevin Knight	50	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	16	-18	14.4	14.5	-0.12	14.1	15.2	-1.07
Primoz Brezec	12	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	13	-12	16.2	14.2	2.09	16.8	14.3	2.51
Emeka Okafor	54	54	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	13	-12	14.7	14.1	0.55	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Alan Anderson	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	12.1	14.7	-2.54	16.0	14.5	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 91, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
GSW 84, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.5%
NOH 98, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%