NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	5.6 [666]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +18.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	1.6 [949]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -20.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.03	17	71%	0.22	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.06	0.04	19	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	10	68%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	0.05	-0.05	0.09	10	60%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	3	14%	-0.07	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.05	13	15%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	24	59%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.09	0.06	14	69%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	10	73%	0.21	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	29.5	15.6	26.2	2.7	37.0	134.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.4%

MIN -7.1%

MIN -11.6%

MIL +26.5%

MIL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MIL	NBA	MIN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	17.0	15.4	104.5	109.2	105.7
season	15.9	15.8		102.2	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.0		110.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	20.6	14.6	15.8	13.4	15.9
MIL	16.4	19.9	14.9	17.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	40	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.38	12	-15	27	13.8	17.6	-3.85	18.5	15.9	2.67
Rashad McCants	42	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.49	10	-13	23	13.9	17.7	-3.77	18.1	15.9	2.25
Chris Richard	27	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	3	-9	16.1	15.8	0.31	15.2	17.8	-2.67
Corey Brewer	66	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	4	-11	16.9	13.0	3.92	16.8	17.8	-1.06
Craig Smith	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-3	3	15.9	15.8	0.10	15.7	19.6	-3.84
Al Jefferson	69	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.34	-3	0	-3	15.8	16.3	-0.53	17.5	15.2	2.34
Marko Jaric	61	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	13	-29	17.4	12.5	4.87	17.9	15.2	2.67
Sebastian Telfair	77	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	2	-7	16.0	14.9	1.13	16.4	21.5	-5.18

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	72	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-6	15	16.0	21.9	-5.85	16.2	14.4	1.83
Andrew Bogut	69	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	-3	9	15.7	22.3	-6.63	16.2	14.6	1.62
Michael Redd	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	0	3	16.5	20.9	-4.38	15.8	16.7	-0.95
Yi Jianlian	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	2	-1	16.4	19.3	-2.91	16.4	14.2	2.15
Desmond Mason	51	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	-6	15	16.0	18.4	-2.42	17.3	13.7	3.58
Jake Voskuhl	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	3	-3	19.7	15.8	3.89	14.5	16.5	-1.99
Bobby Simmons	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.35	-8	11	-19	18.8	16.3	2.49	13.2	17.0	-3.82
Charlie Bell	27	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	5	-7	20.3	15.6	4.69	15.4	16.1	-0.76
Royal Ivey	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	5	-7	20.4	16.6	3.82	15.2	16.0	-0.71
Charlie Villanueva	9	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	4	-5	24.1	16.2	7.91	14.1	16.1	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 72, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
POR 94, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1	94.6%