NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	5.1 [812]		MVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): +16.5%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	1.9 [725]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -14.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.14	0.00	0.04	19	66%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.00	0.09	6	114%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	2	10%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.09
Damian Lillard	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	15	49%	-0.02	6	-0.13	9	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.02	0.05	13	76%	0.17	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	5	40%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	22	54%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	38%	-0.04	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	54%	0.05	4	-0.10	17	65%	-0.02
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	54%	0.11	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	31.5	18.7	24.3	1.8	32.0	135.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +11.6%

ORL +9.1%

ORL +17.3%

ORL +11.8%

ORL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	14.9	94.9	104.1	105.1
season	15.0	14.6		107.1	103.6
opponent	14.9	14.6		105.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.6	15.7	15.5	12.9	14.4
ORL	15.9	14.3	13.9	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	20	19	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-9	10	13.5	14.6	-1.11	16.1	14.6	1.48
Ed Davis	46	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-12	16	14.8	14.1	0.70	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Allen Crabbe	50	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-11	14	13.4	15.4	-1.95	14.8	14.9	-0.03
Gerald Henderson	34	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	14.6	14.3	0.36	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Meyers Leonard	47	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-7	6	13.8	14.9	-1.05	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Noah Vonleh	24	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	16.2	13.8	2.46	14.6	15.0	-0.40
CJ McCollum	80	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-5	2	14.7	12.8	1.91	15.1	13.9	1.14
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	14.4	14.3	0.11	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Mason Plumlee	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	6	-20	14.8	13.7	1.14	15.5	13.8	1.79
Damian Lillard	75	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	2	-12	13.9	15.9	-2.02	14.6	15.6	-0.93

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	72	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	0	8	14.6	15.5	-0.87	14.6	13.8	0.73
Tobias Harris	75	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-1	10	14.4	16.3	-1.83	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Channing Frye	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.01	12	-4	16	14.3	15.4	-1.09	16.1	12.9	3.21
Nikola Vucevic	71	72	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	3	2	14.5	15.9	-1.48	14.9	13.1	1.80
Victor Oladipo	73	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	4	0	14.8	15.0	-0.14	13.4	17.5	-4.11
Evan Fournier	51	49	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	4	0	15.2	14.4	0.79	15.6	13.2	2.47
Jason Smith	27	27	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.09	3	5	-2	15.9	14.5	1.48	13.1	14.9	-1.80
Andrew Nicholson	51	54	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	12	-16	15.6	14.0	1.61	12.9	16.1	-3.21
Aaron Gordon	25	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	9	-10	15.6	14.6	1.05	14.4	14.4	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 78, SAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 86, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DET 85, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1	95.1%