NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	5.6 [664]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +34.4%
Charlotte Hornets	109		Comeback	1.0 [1002]		LVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): -16.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donald Whiteside	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	3	112%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.04	-0.00	-0.09	16	54%	0.12	4	-0.07	3	0%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.06	7	93%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Benoit Benjamin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	14	44%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	13	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.28	0.10	0.04	23	79%	0.37	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	10	75%	0.11	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	0.02	-0.02	15	41%	-0.07	3	-0.03	9	67%	-0.03
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	11	37%	-0.08	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.03
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	14	30%	-0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	25.9	15.8	27.5	1.7	33.4	130.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +16.0%

CHH +8.0%

CHH +25.1%

TOR -4.4%

CHH +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHH	NBA	TOR	CHH	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.6	102.1	113.5	104.4
season	16.1	15.7		102.2	108.0
opponent	16.0	15.0		106.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	14.3	14.2	13.5	14.2
CHH	12.9	17.0	16.4	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Benoit Benjamin	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-10	9	15.5	14.0	1.48	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Carlos Rogers	63	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-13	15	12.9	16.7	-3.79	14.7	17.6	-2.92
Donald Whiteside	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.22	5	-16	21	13.5	14.6	-1.03	14.7	16.2	-1.43
Marcus Camby	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	14.2	14.2	-0.02	15.6	15.8	-0.20
Sharone Wright	7	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-7	3	13.6	14.3	-0.72	20.1	15.4	4.76
Doug Christie	37	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-7	3	15.7	13.3	2.38	17.0	14.9	2.09
Zan Tabak	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-1	-9	14.3	14.0	0.32	15.2	16.8	-1.52
Popeye Jones	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	15.6	13.3	2.30	17.7	14.4	3.25
Hubert Davis	67	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	13.3	16.4	-3.07	15.3	16.7	-1.42
Damon Stoudamire	67	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	5	-21	14.6	13.5	1.03	16.2	14.7	1.43
Walt Williams	68	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	2	-15	14.5	13.6	0.89	15.4	16.7	-1.30

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	70	68	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.02	26	-15	41	16.9	12.7	4.21	14.8	13.0	1.80
Dell Curry	85	83	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.01	22	-11	33	16.8	8.0	8.76	14.6	12.2	2.32
Anthony Mason	90	90	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-2	15	15.8	15.3	0.46	14.1	16.3	-2.23
Matt Geiger	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	3	5	16.0	15.3	0.70	14.9	12.7	2.10
Vlade Divac	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	0	11	16.1	15.1	1.00	14.9	13.1	1.83
Scott Burrell	59	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	5	1	16.1	15.2	0.97	13.8	15.0	-1.26
Malik Rose	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	3.5	16.0	-12.52	4.0	14.5	-10.46
George Zidek	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	14	-17	9.7	16.6	-6.87	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Tony Smith	16	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.21	-13	24	-37	9.1	17.1	-8.04	12.5	14.7	-2.20
Anthony Goldwire	15	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.13	-11	22	-33	14.3	16.0	-1.69	11.7	14.7	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.75,0.85,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.5%
TOR 102, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.88,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	94.5%
SEA 102, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%