NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	5.9 [683]		MVP	Lamond Murray (TOR): +15.0%
Houston Rockets	114		Comeback	1.3 [993]		LVP	Bob Sura (HOU): -15.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	5	100%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	79%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	11	57%	-0.00	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	21	64%	0.18	2	-0.06	11	73%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	7	86%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.01	0.07	16	80%	0.18	2	-0.06	18	78%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.01	-0.03	7	11%	-0.12	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.6	30.7	13.8	29.4	1.5	35.2	138.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.5%

HOU +22.4%

HOU +18.9%

TOR -0.6%

TOR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.8	14.9	15.5	108.5	121.3	104.0
season	15.1	16.0		104.8	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.4	16.3	16.6	14.8	15.8
HOU	13.9	15.0	14.1	16.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	35	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-17	22	15.1	16.2	-1.10	14.9	14.8	0.13
Eric Williams	45	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-13	14	15.5	16.0	-0.55	15.1	14.6	0.52
Loren Woods	15	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-5	-2	17.6	15.4	2.17	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Aaron Williams	9	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-7	2	15.6	15.8	-0.24	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Donyell Marshall	71	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-13	14	15.3	17.3	-2.02	15.2	13.9	1.26
Chris Bosh	47	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-10	8	16.1	15.4	0.74	16.0	13.8	2.19
Milt Palacio	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-8	4	16.5	15.4	1.09	14.9	14.8	0.07
Matt Bonner	42	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-4	-4	15.8	15.8	-0.03	13.7	15.9	-2.18
Rafer Alston	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-4	-4	15.4	16.5	-1.09	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Morris Peterson	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	5	-22	16.2	15.1	1.10	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Jalen Rose	53	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	4	-20	15.9	15.6	0.25	14.5	15.4	-0.90

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	87	87	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-3	18	14.8	15.1	-0.30	16.0	13.3	2.69
Jim Jackson	85	86	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-2	16	14.5	18.4	-3.96	15.6	18.1	-2.57
Yao Ming	62	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-1	14	14.8	15.0	-0.26	15.8	15.8	0.01
Bob Sura	46	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	1	10	14.2	15.5	-1.39	16.4	15.2	1.18
Juwan Howard	41	42	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	4	4	14.6	15.1	-0.53	16.6	15.1	1.52
Maurice Taylor	53	52	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	8	-4	15.1	14.6	0.53	15.1	16.6	-1.52
Tyronn Lue	48	46	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	11	-10	15.5	14.2	1.39	15.2	16.4	-1.18
Clar. Weatherspoon	32	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	13	-14	15.0	14.8	0.26	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	16	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.07	-5	17	-22	17.0	14.4	2.58	15.9	15.8	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.88,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, CHH 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NJN 101, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.3%
DEN 111, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,1,1	94.0%