inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 111 Excitement6.5 [514] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +25.4%
San Antonio Spurs 120 Comeback1.2 [1200] LVPWill Barton (DEN): -7.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.10.070.050.011556%0.141-0.04633%-0.06
JJ Hickson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.090.030.05-0.01864%0.122-0.03633%-0.08
Danilo Gallinari0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.080.030.03-0.011256%0.091-0.021100%0.00
Ty Lawson0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.020.051368%0.112-0.048100%0.04
Jameer Nelson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.001065%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Gary Harris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.000,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.001357%0.072-0.072100%0.01
Randy Foye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00437%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Will Barton-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00837%-0.012-0.0600%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.250.250.120.130.001569%0.291-0.04580%0.02
Danny Green0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.060.08-0.01961%0.1600.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.120.120.110.050.031766%0.182-0.064100%0.04
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.050.02868%0.131-0.02650%-0.02
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.030.01567%0.091-0.02580%-0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00564%0.0500.00475%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00564%0.081-0.031100%0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00175%0.0400.00250%-0.02
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00150%0.0100.002100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01831%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.030.04564%0.012-0.07475%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.728.715.027.22.340.6141.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +19.1%
SAS +25.5%
DEN -7.2%
SAS +9.0%
SAS +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game14.414.715.1112.1121.2104.2
season14.615.4103.4106.9
opponent14.915.3101.1106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.814.815.114.114.4
SAS14.414.615.614.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Harris16160.11-0.610.73-0.066-152113.614.6-1.0415.514.51.01
Darrell Arthur3535-0.04-0.460.43-0.185-141913.515.0-1.5114.914.50.35
Jameer Nelson3737-0.04-0.460.43-0.133-121513.015.3-2.2915.214.40.81
Joffrey Lauvergne11-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-750.014.6-14.588.014.7-6.72
JJ Hickson4746-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-101114.114.7-0.6215.414.01.37
Will Barton6059-0.17-0.330.17-0.284-131713.615.7-2.1215.014.20.81
Wilson Chandler6262-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.04-7-2-514.813.81.0814.315.2-0.94
Randy Foye3940-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-134-1715.713.62.1214.215.0-0.81
Ty Lawson6666-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-123-1515.212.92.2914.515.0-0.52
Kenneth Faried6869-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.12-123-1515.113.02.0414.415.3-0.92
Danilo Gallinari6464-0.650.15-0.80-0.12-189-2714.614.10.5414.415.1-0.66

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard74750.65-0.150.810.1517-82514.315.8-1.5814.913.01.84
Tony Parker71710.63-0.130.750.1616-72314.814.30.5215.711.24.44
Danny Green62610.490.010.480.2010-11114.514.9-0.4215.113.41.64
Tim Duncan56570.470.030.440.0614-51913.915.6-1.6816.311.94.39
Boris Diaw46440.300.200.100.1072516.113.42.7114.114.7-0.66
Tiago Splitter53520.250.250.000.0863314.914.30.6214.913.91.03
Aron Baynes21210.110.39-0.290.14-110-1115.514.41.0414.114.5-0.37
Marco Belinelli3435-0.000.50-0.500.15-514-1913.515.3-1.8113.215.1-1.87
Cory Joseph1211-0.010.51-0.510.05-211-1313.514.8-1.329.615.0-5.40
Matt Bonner99-0.100.60-0.710.01-413-1714.914.60.2612.114.7-2.56
Patty Mills1617-0.120.62-0.740.03-514-1914.914.60.2612.314.9-2.58
Manu Ginobili4142-0.170.67-0.840.07-817-2515.114.30.7911.616.5-4.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 107, OKC 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.98,194.1%
TOR 102, HOU 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.88,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.95,1,1,194.0%
VAN 79, SAS 870.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.91,193.8%