NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	5.5 [738]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +17.4%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.7 [903]		LVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): -14.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	12	85%	0.20	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
James Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	63%	0.06	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.03
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.03	11	65%	0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Haislip	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.03	10	54%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
John Edwards	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.03	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Fred Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.03	10	60%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	16	53%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	14	41%	-0.12	1	-0.03	13	69%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	30.5	16.6	35.3	2.5	34.2	149.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +18.7%

IND -4.6%

GSW +7.1%

GSW +23.6%

GSW +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.5	100.0	108.3	104.0
season	16.8	15.0		101.9	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.7	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	15.0	15.4	15.4	15.7
GSW	14.3	12.7	14.0	16.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	63	63	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-12	16	16.1	14.9	1.22	15.2	12.6	2.62
Britton Johnsen	8	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-9	10	13.4	15.9	-2.51	12.0	14.6	-2.56
Fred Jones	61	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-14	20	15.5	15.9	-0.37	15.6	11.9	3.69
Reggie Miller	69	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-5	2	15.2	16.8	-1.58	14.5	14.0	0.51
Marcus Haislip	14	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-12	16	17.1	15.4	1.63	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Tremaine Fowlkes	5	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-5	2	16.0	15.7	0.34	11.0	14.5	-3.47
Jamaal Tinsley	62	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	16.4	14.3	2.14	13.7	15.6	-1.96
Austin Croshere	72	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-8	8	15.6	15.9	-0.32	15.2	11.8	3.38
John Edwards	20	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	2	-12	15.4	15.7	-0.29	10.6	15.2	-4.67
James Jones	26	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	0	-8	15.5	15.8	-0.30	14.0	14.4	-0.41
Eddie Gill	25	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	2	-12	14.3	16.2	-1.83	12.4	15.0	-2.54
Anthony Johnson	55	55	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.16	-18	10	-28	15.9	15.4	0.54	14.3	14.4	-0.12

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	51	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-3	14	14.3	14.4	-0.10	15.4	16.0	-0.51
Mickael Pietrus	36	36	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.14	13	-5	18	14.9	14.0	0.86	16.2	15.4	0.83
Derek Fisher	57	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-2	12	13.4	15.7	-2.39	14.9	16.7	-1.80
Eduardo Najera	20	20	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	-2	12	14.8	14.2	0.60	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Speedy Claxton	45	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	4	0	14.7	14.0	0.65	17.0	14.4	2.56
Clifford Robinson	55	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	4	0	14.5	14.1	0.39	15.1	16.6	-1.54
Mike Dunleavy	75	72	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.25	-2	10	-12	14.9	12.3	2.55	15.5	16.1	-0.54
Troy Murphy	64	65	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	6	-4	13.5	16.0	-2.47	16.2	14.6	1.57
Jason Richardson	63	62	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	15	-22	14.2	14.5	-0.29	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Adonal Foyle	14	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	13	-18	15.9	14.1	1.80	17.4	15.4	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	93.9%
IND 61, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
DAL 106, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%