NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Excitement	6.0 [640]		MVP	Sasha Vujacic (LAL): +9.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	1.6 [1205]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -10.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.04	14	55%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	16	45%	0.01	4	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Kyle Weaver	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	13	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	23	54%	0.06	5	-0.11	11	91%	0.02
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.00	-0.06	7	56%	0.06	1	0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	26	57%	0.16	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	17	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	90%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	17	34%	-0.00	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	9	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.0	28.0	15.8	24.0	2.5	38.8	134.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.0%

OKC -4.2%

LAL +16.6%

OKC -1.6%

OKC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.4	15.5	94.2	102.9	106.4
season	14.9	14.9		100.5	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		102.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.2	15.7	13.2	13.6	13.6
LAL	13.6	13.8	16.1	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Weaver	79	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-11	15	13.4	14.2	-0.82	14.6	13.6	1.01
Joe Smith	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-4	1	15.3	12.9	2.45	14.6	14.2	0.37
Nick Collison	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	13.9	13.4	0.49	14.5	14.3	0.17
Nenad Krstic	59	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-5	3	13.4	13.9	-0.56	14.0	14.8	-0.76
Jeff Green	89	88	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	13.1	16.7	-3.64	14.7	12.1	2.56
Russell Westbrook	86	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	1	-9	13.1	16.3	-3.22	14.4	14.2	0.24
Earl Watson	43	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	3	-13	15.1	12.6	2.52	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Kevin Durant	90	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	0	-7	13.6	14.0	-0.44	14.1	16.1	-1.99

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	79	81	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	-1	9	14.4	14.3	0.12	13.4	14.3	-0.88
Pau Gasol	90	91	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	6	-5	14.3	15.1	-0.83	13.6	13.9	-0.35
Kobe Bryant	78	79	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	14.4	14.2	0.24	12.9	15.9	-3.03
Trevor Ariza	50	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	6	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.77	13.5	13.7	-0.23
Jordan Farmar	37	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	3	1	14.3	14.4	-0.13	14.7	13.0	1.64
Derek Fisher	65	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	4	-1	14.4	14.3	0.13	13.0	14.7	-1.64
Sasha Vujacic	25	26	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	2	3	13.7	14.6	-0.89	15.4	13.0	2.36
Luke Walton	52	52	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	1	5	14.7	14.0	0.77	13.7	13.5	0.23
Josh Powell	23	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	8	-9	14.3	14.4	-0.12	14.3	13.4	0.88
Chris Mihm	11	12	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	3	1	16.3	14.1	2.15	14.9	13.4	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 69, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%
IND 96, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%