NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	69		Excitement	5.2 [748]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +13.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	1.4 [999]		LVP	Brian Grant (MIA): -22.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	17	59%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.04	16	61%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Duane Causwell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
A.C. Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	8	17%	-0.12	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Grant	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.19	-0.06	-0.02	13	20%	-0.18	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	13	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.25	-0.03	-0.06	27	37%	-0.14	3	-0.08	18	78%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	29.2	19.7	27.1	2.4	30.6	137.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +8.0%

PHI +13.8%

PHI +29.2%

MIA -4.3%

PHI +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.5	79.3	91.9	100.9
season	16.3	15.7		98.4	101.4
opponent	15.5	16.1		97.1	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.8	18.6	16.2	18.4	16.9
PHI	15.2	17.4	15.1	18.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Causwell	15	15	0.01	-0.52	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	18.4	16.6	1.84	16.3	16.4	-0.10
Eddie House	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	9.2	17.4	-8.28	20.2	16.1	4.03
Eddie Jones	62	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-10	10	16.3	18.2	-1.92	17.5	13.0	4.52
A.C. Green	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-10	10	16.7	16.9	-0.26	15.1	16.8	-1.69
Anthony Carter	41	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-6	2	17.7	16.2	1.48	17.2	15.8	1.47
Bruce Bowen	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-3	-4	15.7	18.6	-2.92	15.9	17.2	-1.32
Dan Majerle	36	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	18.5	15.7	2.77	14.0	17.9	-3.88
Anthony Mason	79	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-5	0	16.3	22.5	-6.20	16.2	18.9	-2.71
Tim Hardaway	66	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	4	-18	17.4	15.2	2.16	16.1	17.3	-1.21
Brian Grant	57	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	5	-20	17.6	15.4	2.20	17.2	14.7	2.53

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	1	8	16.2	19.3	-3.13	16.5	21.6	-5.11
Rodney Buford	41	43	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	0	10	15.2	17.6	-2.38	18.4	15.4	2.96
Eric Snow	63	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	1	8	17.4	13.7	3.66	16.4	18.3	-1.86
Dikembe Mutombo	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	2	6	17.4	12.2	5.20	16.8	17.4	-0.60
George Lynch	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	14.5	18.6	-4.09	16.7	17.1	-0.43
Tyrone Hill	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	3	4	17.2	14.7	2.45	15.9	18.9	-2.92
Matt Geiger	24	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	9	-8	14.3	17.2	-2.89	19.0	16.0	2.98
Aaron McKie	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	11	-12	17.0	15.8	1.17	16.8	16.9	-0.06
Kevin Ollie	3	2	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	9	-8	18.7	16.3	2.33	26.5	16.6	9.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
OKC 98, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	94.6%
IND 61, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%