NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	61		Excitement	5.1 [794]		MVP	Elden Campbell (DET): +8.2%
Detroit Pistons	79		Comeback	1.3 [957]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -24.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Fred Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	13	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	4	33%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	15	25%	-0.16	3	-0.08	6	17%	-0.05

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	3	92%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	86%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	16	62%	0.04	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	10	43%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.04	-0.01	8	10%	-0.20	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.8	33.4	17.3	31.6	2.7	37.2	154.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.7%

DET +11.0%

IND -19.9%

DET +27.7%

DET +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	17.2	15.5	15.7	70.1	88.8	100.5
season	16.7	16.2		101.1	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.7		92.6	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.7	17.5	18.7	14.9	17.2
DET	13.0	15.2	15.6	18.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	7	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-16	14	13.4	17.5	-4.12	16.9	15.4	1.48
Jeff Foster	42	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-18	18	18.1	16.4	1.70	14.2	16.8	-2.55
Scot Pollard	13	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-12	6	13.5	17.9	-4.42	17.1	15.3	1.80
Reggie Miller	54	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-9	0	17.6	16.6	0.94	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Austin Croshere	29	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-10	2	17.1	17.3	-0.17	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Kenny Anderson	56	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-11	4	17.7	16.3	1.39	15.5	15.6	-0.18
Metta World Peace	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-11	4	17.4	17.0	0.32	16.8	14.1	2.76
Anthony Johnson	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-7	-4	16.3	17.7	-1.39	15.6	15.5	0.18
Jermaine O'Neal	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-8	-2	18.3	13.4	4.89	15.3	16.2	-0.87
Fred Jones	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-8	-2	16.4	17.6	-1.20	15.4	15.6	-0.22
Al Harrington	60	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	2	-22	16.6	18.6	-1.94	16.0	14.6	1.40

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	28	27	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.05	14	4	10	18.4	14.2	4.13	17.4	17.1	0.27
Elden Campbell	23	23	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	3	12	18.2	14.6	3.63	17.9	17.0	0.94
Corliss Williamson	49	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.11	17	1	16	15.9	15.1	0.78	17.7	16.6	1.04
Mike James	27	24	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	11	-4	16.3	15.2	1.10	18.3	16.8	1.54
Lindsey Hunter	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	9	0	14.8	15.9	-1.15	18.5	16.6	1.91
Richard Hamilton	64	64	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	8	2	15.6	15.4	0.18	16.9	18.2	-1.36
Chauncey Billups	57	57	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	8	2	15.5	15.6	-0.05	16.2	19.1	-2.87
Darvin Ham	19	17	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	13	-8	15.7	15.5	0.20	16.2	17.5	-1.22
Ben Wallace	62	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	15	-12	14.5	17.9	-3.34	17.4	16.9	0.48
Rasheed Wallace	57	57	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	14	-10	14.1	18.0	-3.91	17.3	17.1	0.23
Darko Milicic	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	15.7	15.5	0.23	14.0	17.3	-3.33
Tayshaun Prince	25	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	22	-26	14.8	15.8	-1.07	16.6	17.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	94.8%
MIA 69, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
WAS 98, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%