NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	5.4 [710]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +8.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	1.4 [829]		LVP	Robert Pack (NJN): -14.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	64%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	13	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evric Gray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	23	44%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Adrian Caldwell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	9	32%	-0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Ed O'Bannon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	20	49%	0.00	6	-0.14	7	57%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	17	63%	0.19	3	-0.10	9	100%	0.04
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	10	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.01	24	51%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	26.0	14.8	23.4	2.3	31.3	124.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.0%

MIL +11.0%

NJN -7.6%

MIL +3.9%

MIL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	96.8	108.6	104.4
season	15.4	16.0		101.7	103.9
opponent	15.5	14.9		106.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	16.2	13.8	16.3	15.5
MIL	13.0	13.1	18.3	17.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	35	37	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-13	16	15.6	15.5	0.11	16.1	14.7	1.35
Evric Gray	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-6	2	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Ed O'Bannon	26	26	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.06	-5	-5	0	16.2	15.3	0.86	12.9	16.2	-3.31
Kendall Gill	73	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-9	8	14.8	17.9	-3.06	15.9	12.8	3.15
Khalid Reeves	26	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-3	-4	17.3	14.9	2.40	12.6	16.2	-3.65
Kerry Kittles	76	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-6	2	15.1	17.2	-2.02	16.0	12.1	3.98
Adrian Caldwell	59	57	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.20	-5	-5	0	15.5	15.5	-0.02	15.2	15.4	-0.29
Robert Pack	79	78	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-1	-8	15.6	15.4	0.16	15.4	14.4	1.04
Tony Massenburg	80	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	5	-20	16.1	12.3	3.81	15.1	16.3	-1.27

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	50	51	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-7	24	15.1	15.5	-0.37	15.7	15.3	0.34
Armen Gilliam	56	55	0.55	-0.06	0.61	0.08	16	-6	22	15.1	15.6	-0.54	15.7	15.2	0.51
Glenn Robinson	79	81	0.52	-0.03	0.55	0.14	13	-3	16	15.5	13.9	1.66	15.6	14.9	0.71
Chucky Brown	28	27	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	1	8	13.7	15.9	-2.17	16.9	15.0	1.85
Sherman Douglas	60	60	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	15.0	15.7	-0.66	15.6	15.4	0.28
Vin Baker	87	89	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	7	-4	15.0	18.7	-3.63	15.3	20.2	-4.93
Elliot Perry	34	34	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.08	4	6	-2	15.6	15.1	0.55	15.4	15.6	-0.28
Ray Allen	43	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	17	-24	15.5	15.1	0.37	15.3	15.7	-0.34
Andrew Lang	28	30	-0.23	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	21	-32	17.3	14.4	2.94	14.5	16.0	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 61, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
VAN 98, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 95, CHH 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,1,1	94.2%