NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	5.8 [639]		MVP	Eddie Jones (CHH): +19.1%
Charlotte Hornets	103		Comeback	1.5 [1155]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -34.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.03	0.05	25	61%	0.10	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Stack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	0.00	10	42%	-0.09	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.28,-0.25,-0.24,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.36,-0.36,-0.32,-0.34,-0.34	-0.31	-0.05	-0.02	19	31%	-0.21	5	-0.13	14	57%	-0.06

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.07	0.02	19	74%	0.27	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.02	10	72%	0.14	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	17	65%	0.12	3	-0.08	12	92%	0.03
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	25.3	24.5	25.3	1.5	38.5	142.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +47.8%

CHH +8.5%

CLE -10.9%

CHH +2.5%

CHH +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHH	NBA	CLE	CHH	NBA
this game	14.0	14.3	15.2	93.1	101.0	101.7
season	14.1	14.9		98.0	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		99.2	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.3	15.2	15.9	11.7	14.0
CHH	13.4	14.2	14.1	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	31	31	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-11	14	13.0	14.4	-1.37	15.0	14.0	1.03
Ryan Stack	10	11	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-12	16	10.8	14.3	-3.49	12.3	14.5	-2.25
Andrew DeClercq	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	13.8	14.0	-0.20	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Mark Bryant	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	15.1	12.6	2.55	14.1	14.5	-0.34
Danny Ferry	50	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	13.0	14.9	-1.87	14.5	14.1	0.41
Shawn Kemp	74	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	0	-8	14.4	12.9	1.51	14.5	13.8	0.64
Wesley Person	87	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	14.1	13.3	0.80	14.0	16.2	-2.25
Lamond Murray	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	13.8	14.4	-0.55	14.7	13.0	1.71
Andre Miller	93	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	0	-8	14.1	12.0	2.14	14.3	13.9	0.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	92	92	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	14.1	15.6	-1.46	13.8	14.9	-1.05
Derrick Coleman	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-1	10	13.7	16.6	-2.88	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Elden Campbell	67	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-3	14	13.5	15.8	-2.31	14.3	13.3	1.00
Anthony Mason	75	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	2	4	14.0	15.1	-1.12	13.9	14.0	-0.07
David Wesley	85	85	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	3	2	13.6	17.7	-4.11	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Dale Ellis	16	16	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	1	6	13.9	14.3	-0.41	15.7	13.6	2.13
Baron Davis	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	8	-8	16.3	13.3	3.03	14.3	13.8	0.48
Brad Miller	33	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	11	-14	15.8	13.6	2.22	13.6	14.1	-0.57
Chucky Brown	26	24	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	12	-16	17.3	13.2	4.11	13.2	14.2	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 88, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.84,0.97,1,1	94.3%
NOP 84, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	94.3%
NJN 91, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	94.2%