NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	5.2 [629]		MVP	Rodrigue Beaubois (DAL): +15.7%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	1.4 [1020]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -13.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	13	59%	0.08	1	-0.00	8	50%	-0.06
JaVale McGee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Nick Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	11	54%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jan Vesely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	14	49%	-0.01	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	17	39%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.04	-0.03	14	59%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.00	0.03	14	79%	0.19	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	20	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	23%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.8	28.3	16.8	32.9	0.2	29.1	134.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +56.8%

WAS -8.9%

DAL +3.1%

WAS -0.4%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.6	102.1	110.3	102.8
season	15.0	15.5		99.5	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	17.2	13.6	14.0	14.8
DAL	15.3	14.8	15.2	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	64	63	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-16	23	13.4	17.7	-4.25	15.6	13.9	1.66
Chris Singleton	44	42	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	13.8	15.7	-1.85	15.4	14.7	0.64
Shelvin Mack	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-6	3	18.6	14.3	4.31	13.9	15.2	-1.25
Trevor Booker	64	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.21	5	-14	19	13.4	17.7	-4.34	15.2	14.7	0.44
Jordan Crawford	65	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-8	7	13.7	17.1	-3.36	14.6	15.9	-1.37
Roger Mason Jr.	21	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	17.9	14.0	3.94	15.2	15.0	0.20
Jan Vesely	32	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.02	-14	5	-19	17.7	13.4	4.34	14.7	15.2	-0.44
John Wall	85	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-3	-3	14.3	18.6	-4.31	15.2	13.9	1.25
Andray Blatche	31	33	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	8	-25	17.9	13.3	4.60	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Nick Young	63	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	7	-23	15.5	13.5	2.04	15.0	15.2	-0.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodrigue Beaubois	55	54	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-1	11	15.1	15.0	0.12	16.0	13.3	2.78
Dirk Nowitzki	56	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-10	29	14.7	15.4	-0.64	14.9	14.7	0.13
Vince Carter	48	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.01	14	-5	19	15.4	14.7	0.70	16.3	13.3	2.95
Ian Mahinmi	34	34	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-3	15	15.4	14.8	0.51	16.7	13.8	2.96
Jason Terry	70	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	6	-3	14.7	15.9	-1.15	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Shawn Marion	70	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	10	-11	15.2	14.5	0.75	13.6	18.2	-4.67
Brendan Haywood	54	52	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	11	-13	14.8	15.3	-0.46	13.4	16.5	-3.05
Jason Kidd	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	8	-7	15.2	14.8	0.41	13.6	16.0	-2.40
Brandan Wright	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	9	-9	15.0	15.0	-0.02	16.3	14.7	1.67
Brian Cardinal	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	7	-5	8.0	15.2	-7.24	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Lamar Odom	39	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	22	-35	15.4	14.8	0.61	15.1	14.7	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ATL 97, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
IND 61, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%