NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	110		Excitement	6.0 [638]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +9.7%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	1.6 [551]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): -9.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	23	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
James Singleton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	73%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	22	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.01	0.09	16	66%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	11	44%	-0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.01	25	49%	0.12	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	54%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	7	74%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.03	23	60%	0.14	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	13	32%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	31.6	13.0	27.1	2.4	28.6	130.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +23.3%

GSW +10.7%

GSW +14.2%

GSW +2.2%

DAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	15.5	111.1	117.8	106.4
season	15.6	13.8		108.9	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.4		111.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	15.3	14.3	13.6	14.5
GSW	13.1	13.0	13.9	17.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	53	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-10	11	15.1	13.7	1.44	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Ryan Hollins	13	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-9	9	15.8	14.3	1.50	15.4	14.2	1.27
Matt Carroll	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-8	7	18.4	14.3	4.14	15.8	14.3	1.54
Erick Dampier	42	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-6	3	15.0	14.1	0.97	13.7	14.8	-1.02
Brandon Bass	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	16.0	13.8	2.20	13.8	14.6	-0.72
James Singleton	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-7	5	13.7	15.2	-1.49	15.2	13.5	1.67
Antoine Wright	77	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-1	-7	14.2	15.5	-1.27	14.3	14.5	-0.24
Dirk Nowitzki	80	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	0	-9	13.8	17.2	-3.40	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Jason Kidd	80	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	-3	-3	13.9	16.7	-2.81	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Jason Terry	66	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	2	-13	14.7	14.1	0.56	14.8	13.5	1.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelenna Azubuike	52	52	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-6	21	14.1	14.6	-0.57	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Monta Ellis	94	93	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.22	10	-1	11	14.1	18.0	-3.94	14.4	16.2	-1.81
Ronny Turiaf	52	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-3	15	15.8	12.8	2.95	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Stephen Jackson	93	89	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	6	-3	14.2	15.7	-1.53	13.9	19.5	-5.60
Anthony Morrow	49	48	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	15.2	13.5	1.72	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	71	70	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	7	-5	14.4	14.2	0.24	14.8	13.6	1.24
Anthony Randolph	45	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	8	-7	13.3	15.2	-1.89	14.9	14.1	0.82
Brandan Wright	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	8	-7	14.4	14.3	0.15	15.4	14.0	1.39
Andris Biedrins	17	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	14	-19	12.7	14.7	-1.96	14.3	14.5	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 92, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
WAS 98, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
PHI 69, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%