NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	92		Excitement	5.5 [702]		MVP	John Wallace (PHX): +12.6%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	1.6 [1090]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -15.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	14	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Scott Williams	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	56%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
James Posey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	24	44%	-0.04	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	13	70%	0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	14	79%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	21	47%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	15	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	0.00	15	46%	-0.03	5	-0.12	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	28.0	19.6	26.0	2.8	26.6	128.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +11.2%

PHX +11.5%

PHX +25.8%

PHX +3.2%

DEN -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.6	96.8	111.2	102.3
season	16.1	15.1		99.7	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.2		102.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.1	16.6	15.7	17.3	15.3
PHX	14.5	14.1	13.8	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	44	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-20	23	14.0	16.4	-2.37	14.6	14.5	0.11
Voshon Lenard	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-13	9	16.5	14.2	2.33	14.7	14.4	0.26
Calbert Cheaney	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-16	15	14.2	15.6	-1.39	13.6	14.8	-1.21
Ryan Bowen	45	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-10	3	15.8	14.9	0.92	13.4	15.6	-2.20
James Posey	47	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-7	-3	15.3	15.3	0.05	15.0	14.1	0.90
Raef LaFrentz	70	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.18	-18	1	-19	15.1	15.7	-0.58	15.2	12.8	2.41
Avery Johnson	70	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	1	-19	15.1	15.8	-0.74	14.9	13.4	1.51
George McCloud	51	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	-2	-13	16.5	13.9	2.67	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Nick Van Exel	84	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	-2	-13	14.8	18.8	-3.98	14.2	17.1	-2.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	78	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	-2	21	14.7	14.0	0.64	15.3	15.2	0.12
Stephon Marbury	91	88	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	3	11	14.6	14.0	0.60	15.0	19.1	-4.15
John Wallace	57	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	4	9	13.4	16.1	-2.73	16.2	13.9	2.29
Anfernee Hardaway	81	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	3	11	15.1	12.2	2.89	15.7	13.1	2.61
Dan Majerle	40	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.07	13	4	9	14.1	14.9	-0.82	15.9	14.9	1.00
Tom Gugliotta	46	42	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	9	-1	15.7	13.6	2.10	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Shawn Marion	62	61	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	9	-1	14.9	14.0	0.93	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Jake Voskuhl	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	19	-21	14.6	14.6	0.01	16.1	15.2	0.91
Bo Outlaw	21	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	19	-21	12.5	15.1	-2.59	13.2	15.8	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
PHI 82, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.83,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIL 89, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%