NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	89		Excitement	4.8 [847]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +13.6%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.8 [323]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -12.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	15	35%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	16	41%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	9	54%	-0.02	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.01	16	74%	0.15	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	20	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	9	68%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	20	38%	-0.05	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.03
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	28.6	16.4	25.2	2.6	29.4	127.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +2.6%

NYK +21.2%

NYK +10.7%

NYK +13.6%

NYK +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	17.5	15.6	102.3	117.2	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		104.7	99.6
opponent	15.6	16.0		103.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.1	17.9	15.3	16.6	15.6
NYK	16.9	16.4	16.8	20.2	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	13.0	15.6	-2.65	23.5	17.4	6.12
Greg Anthony	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-12	11	14.4	15.7	-1.33	19.4	17.3	2.05
Darvin Ham	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-11	9	15.1	15.6	-0.55	20.2	17.2	3.03
Tim Thomas	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-13	13	16.2	15.0	1.15	19.0	16.1	2.87
Joel Przybilla	42	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-10	7	14.6	16.5	-1.96	17.1	18.0	-0.86
Michael Redd	38	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-8	3	16.2	15.1	1.11	18.7	16.7	2.02
Sam Cassell	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-7	1	15.4	16.0	-0.63	17.4	17.9	-0.55
Ervin Johnson	43	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	1	-15	16.5	14.7	1.88	17.2	17.7	-0.49
Anthony Mason	68	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-6	-1	15.6	15.6	-0.06	17.1	19.2	-2.08
Ray Allen	60	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.03	-14	1	-15	15.5	15.7	-0.22	16.8	19.2	-2.44
Glenn Robinson	60	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	0	-13	15.4	16.0	-0.60	16.7	19.1	-2.40

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	81	80	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-3	19	17.3	20.2	-2.85	15.3	19.3	-4.02
Allan Houston	72	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-2	17	16.8	20.7	-3.89	15.3	16.9	-1.61
Latrell Sprewell	67	70	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-1	15	17.1	18.9	-1.80	15.6	15.4	0.29
Clar. Weatherspoon	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-1	15	17.0	19.0	-1.96	15.3	16.3	-0.98
Mark Jackson	49	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	1	11	16.1	19.3	-3.15	15.1	16.2	-1.02
Othella Harrington	25	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	12	-11	19.2	16.8	2.36	17.4	14.9	2.47
Howard Eisley	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	12	-11	19.3	16.1	3.15	16.2	15.1	1.02
Shandon Anderson	33	32	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	16	-19	19.5	16.3	3.12	16.3	15.2	1.15
Lavor Postell	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	23.5	17.4	6.12	13.0	15.6	-2.65
Travis Knight	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	18	-23	19.2	17.4	1.82	15.2	15.6	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.7%
DEN 92, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
IND 103, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%