NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	5.8 [636]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +24.0%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	1.4 [694]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -19.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	23	60%	0.13	3	-0.09	11	91%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	61%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Calvin Booth	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Howard Eisley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.05	-0.07	0.08	16	51%	-0.13	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.07	0.03	23	72%	0.24	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	13	77%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	15	43%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.15,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	-0.02	19	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.04	9	39%	-0.04	6	-0.13	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.4	15.6	25.2	1.8	40.0	137.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +20.9%

PHX +15.2%

PHX +20.6%

DAL -6.4%

DAL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	12.6	16.1	15.5	105.0	111.0	100.9
season	15.2	14.9		104.6	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		96.2	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	14.9	11.0	10.7	12.6
PHX	16.7	13.9	18.2	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	53	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-6	7	14.2	10.8	3.40	18.0	13.9	4.13
Calvin Booth	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	1	-7	11.7	12.9	-1.27	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Juwan Howard	92	91	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-5	5	12.7	11.6	1.14	16.5	11.9	4.61
Dirk Nowitzki	79	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	12.2	14.2	-2.03	16.4	14.8	1.60
Howard Eisley	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-3	1	11.2	13.4	-2.17	13.4	17.7	-4.33
Steve Nash	87	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-6	7	12.4	13.5	-1.05	16.2	15.6	0.62
Eduardo Najera	31	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	11	-27	13.6	12.1	1.47	14.1	16.9	-2.78
Michael Finley	98	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	0	-5	12.6	13.3	-0.76	16.3	9.0	7.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	66	67	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.28	12	-7	19	16.2	15.9	0.21	12.4	12.9	-0.52
Tony Delk	75	76	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-5	15	15.3	18.3	-2.99	12.3	13.4	-1.12
Jason Kidd	99	100	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	0	5	16.2	6.0	10.18	12.7	5.0	7.67
Shawn Marion	94	96	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	5	-5	16.5	9.8	6.65	12.6	12.2	0.41
Clifford Robinson	77	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	4	-3	16.3	15.3	0.95	11.9	15.0	-3.12
Mario Elie	46	46	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	7	-9	15.7	16.4	-0.63	13.1	12.1	0.98
Chris Dudley	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	5	-5	9.0	16.3	-7.30	13.3	12.6	0.76
Jake Tsakalidis	40	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	6	-7	16.7	15.7	0.99	13.9	11.8	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 118, BOS 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
MIA 73, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
IND 90, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%