NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	118		Excitement	5.8 [679]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +22.3%
Boston Celtics	124		Comeback	1.7 [911]		LVP	Kenneth Faried (DEN): -12.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Harris	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.21	0.03	0.06	25	71%	0.23	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	71%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Wilson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Jamal Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.07	17	70%	0.12	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Trey Lyles	0.01	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03
Malik Beasley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Juan Hernangomez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	0.00	-0.01	6	7%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.06	0.01	12	87%	0.27	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.06	0.00	6	117%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.03	0.03	19	75%	0.24	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	71%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	4	67%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	9	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	6	27%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	26.9	15.2	26.2	2.4	32.7	129.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +54.2%

BOS +8.1%

DEN -23.9%

BOS +12.5%

DEN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BOS	NBA	DEN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	13.3	14.7	116.8	125.3	107.5
season	14.7	15.1		111.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.5	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.4	14.4	15.3	16.1	15.5
BOS	13.1	11.7	14.7	13.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	79	76	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.37	12	-18	30	15.1	17.0	-1.98	14.2	10.4	3.77
Trey Lyles	70	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.30	8	-14	22	15.4	15.6	-0.17	13.9	11.9	2.06
Jamal Murray	74	71	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.30	8	-14	22	15.2	16.2	-0.94	14.0	11.5	2.54
Mason Plumlee	67	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-9	12	15.1	16.2	-1.03	13.6	12.7	0.88
Wilson Chandler	80	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-4	2	15.4	15.9	-0.46	12.7	15.4	-2.65
Kenneth Faried	34	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	3	-12	16.2	15.1	1.03	12.7	13.6	-0.88
Juan Hernangomez	29	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.00	-16	10	-26	16.6	15.0	1.58	11.8	13.9	-2.11
Malik Beasley	35	36	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	8	-22	15.3	15.6	-0.32	13.0	13.4	-0.40
Emmanuel Mudiay	37	37	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.01	-20	14	-34	16.5	14.9	1.65	11.5	14.4	-2.87

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	36	39	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-8	22	13.1	13.4	-0.31	16.6	14.8	1.83
Shane Larkin	35	38	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-8	22	13.4	13.2	0.14	16.2	15.1	1.10
Jayson Tatum	61	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	3	0	13.5	13.0	0.50	14.2	17.4	-3.15
Terry Rozier	39	41	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	-3	12	13.5	13.2	0.29	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Marcus Smart	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	-1	8	12.8	14.7	-1.96	15.2	16.3	-1.04
Jaylen Brown	67	69	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	11	-16	13.6	12.5	1.11	14.9	16.8	-1.93
Kyrie Irving	68	67	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	11	-16	13.5	12.9	0.60	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Semi Ojeleye	57	59	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	7	-8	12.8	13.9	-1.04	17.0	13.4	3.54
Aron Baynes	59	58	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	12	-18	13.5	13.0	0.47	15.3	15.8	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIA 73, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
IND 61, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%