NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	5.6 [682]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +22.9%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	1.5 [770]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -13.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	65%	0.11	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.04
Derrick McKey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	65%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	16	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Jeff Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	12	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	17	54%	0.05	6	-0.16	7	71%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.12	0.02	21	69%	0.29	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	14	67%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	11	41%	-0.06	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	-0.05	10	23%	-0.10	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	31.6	15.8	26.0	2.5	29.5	132.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +21.7%

IND -7.4%

TOR +19.9%

TOR +16.3%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	13.8	17.0	15.5	96.8	110.6	100.9
season	15.9	15.8		99.3	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.3	12.6	15.2	15.6	13.8
TOR	18.5	14.5	16.8	18.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	57	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-15	16	13.5	14.3	-0.80	17.5	16.1	1.43
Terry Mills	10	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-8	2	11.5	14.1	-2.60	15.3	17.2	-1.92
Sam Perkins	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-8	2	13.5	13.9	-0.36	16.1	17.1	-1.01
Al Harrington	14	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-7	0	11.7	14.2	-2.48	17.2	16.9	0.28
Derrick McKey	11	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-4	-6	13.3	13.9	-0.62	12.6	17.5	-4.91
Jermaine O'Neal	80	80	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-9	4	14.0	12.8	1.22	17.3	14.9	2.48
Travis Best	78	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-9	4	14.1	12.3	1.77	17.5	14.1	3.37
Reggie Miller	84	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-4	-6	14.0	12.3	1.64	17.0	16.5	0.52
Jalen Rose	91	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-4	-6	13.9	10.0	3.90	16.8	21.3	-4.51
Jeff Foster	28	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	-2	-10	14.6	13.5	1.18	16.2	17.3	-1.10

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	54	52	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.07	26	-12	38	16.2	18.0	-1.84	14.2	13.4	0.81
Vince Carter	87	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-1	16	16.8	18.7	-1.89	14.1	8.4	5.73
Antonio Davis	69	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	6	2	17.2	16.4	0.83	13.5	14.6	-1.13
Kevin Willis	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	-2	18	15.2	18.1	-2.83	14.2	13.6	0.66
Morris Peterson	24	22	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	3	8	16.3	17.2	-0.85	12.5	14.2	-1.78
Charles Oakley	82	81	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	8	-2	17.4	14.0	3.40	14.0	12.7	1.32
Mark Jackson	72	71	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	19	-24	17.9	13.9	4.05	14.0	13.3	0.71
Corliss Williamson	46	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	21	-28	17.3	16.7	0.57	13.1	14.6	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SEA 101, NJN 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	94.2%
CLE 88, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	93.7%