NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	96		Excitement	2.9 [1178]		MVP	Brian Cardinal (GSW): +8.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.0 [585]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): -9.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Erick Dampier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	75%	0.09	6	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	17	62%	0.04	4	-0.02	11	73%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	7	22%	-0.05	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.08	10	18%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	13	59%	0.01	3	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	0.00	0.09	15	56%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	12	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.08	7	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	14	45%	-0.06	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.6	29.1	16.4	24.6	2.4	32.2	133.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.1%

LAC -6.3%

GSW +10.0%

GSW +6.2%

GSW +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.2	15.7	103.2	89.5	100.5
season	16.1	15.5		100.8	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.3		106.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.9	15.1	17.7	16.3	16.5
LAC	16.6	13.7	13.7	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	71	74	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.18	27	-16	43	16.4	16.5	-0.12	15.3	10.5	4.79
Erick Dampier	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	16.5	16.4	0.03	14.9	12.7	2.16
Clifford Robinson	76	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	5	1	16.2	17.5	-1.32	14.2	14.3	-0.15
Mike Dunleavy	52	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	0	11	17.2	15.5	1.68	14.4	14.0	0.37
Mickael Pietrus	41	41	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	1	9	17.2	15.9	1.33	15.4	13.3	2.16
Avery Johnson	43	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	9	-7	15.0	17.7	-2.79	13.4	14.9	-1.45
Calbert Cheaney	58	60	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	12	-13	15.6	17.8	-2.16	13.0	16.2	-3.15
Adonal Foyle	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.15	-2	13	-15	17.8	15.8	2.04	13.4	14.6	-1.18
Brian Cardinal	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.26	-7	18	-25	17.2	16.1	1.05	12.5	15.0	-2.50

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-10	9	15.9	13.9	2.08	18.3	16.1	2.25
Eddie House	56	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.34	7	-18	25	12.8	16.2	-3.38	16.0	17.1	-1.02
Doug Overton	22	21	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	2	-15	16.6	13.5	3.10	16.9	16.3	0.59
Keyon Dooling	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-6	1	13.2	16.3	-3.12	16.3	16.8	-0.47
Predrag Drobnjak	53	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	14.8	13.5	1.27	17.2	15.5	1.65
Matt Barnes	77	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-7	3	14.2	14.3	-0.08	16.3	17.2	-0.96
Elton Brand	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-6	1	13.6	17.4	-3.88	16.3	17.3	-0.97
Chris Kaman	21	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	7	-25	18.3	13.0	5.29	17.3	16.2	1.14
Bobby Simmons	88	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-1	-9	14.2	14.1	0.07	16.0	21.7	-5.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
HOU 99, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAS 97, HOU 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%