NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	2.7 [1211]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +12.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	1.1 [1182]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): -12.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.12	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.00	0.05	20	74%	0.19	6	-0.07	10	90%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	14	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	13	69%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	75%	0.00	3	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	6	46%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	-0.05	3	-0.02	14	71%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	10	33%	-0.03	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.6	25.4	15.6	24.5	1.8	32.0	126.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.9%

HOU +1.2%

HOU +1.1%

HOU +10.5%

HOU +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	15.1	99.0	87.9	104.2
season	14.3	15.5		105.6	101.9
opponent	14.7	14.9		108.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.3	11.4	16.2	16.7	14.1
LAL	16.0	17.4	13.2	12.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.07	16	-4	20	14.5	13.2	1.28	14.9	14.5	0.44
Trevor Ariza	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.12	17	-5	22	13.4	15.4	-1.95	16.0	12.6	3.39
Joey Dorsey	51	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	0	12	14.3	14.0	0.33	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Donatas Motiejunas	66	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-1	14	14.5	13.4	1.04	14.9	14.7	0.24
Patrick Beverley	49	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	2	8	14.4	13.8	0.59	15.6	14.0	1.58
Josh Smith	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	2	8	13.5	14.9	-1.39	16.0	13.6	2.36
Corey Brewer	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.34	-4	16	-20	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.0	16.0	-1.98
Jason Terry	46	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	7	-2	13.8	14.4	-0.68	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Kostas Papanikolaou	22	21	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.33	-11	23	-34	15.5	13.7	1.76	12.2	15.5	-3.27
Clint Capela	15	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	17	-22	13.5	14.2	-0.78	12.1	15.2	-3.11
Alexey Shved	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	14.6	14.1	0.49	7.2	15.1	-7.89

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-17	22	10.3	15.6	-5.36	18.0	13.4	4.55
Ronnie Price	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-15	18	10.5	15.5	-5.03	17.2	13.6	3.59
Ed Davis	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-17	22	13.6	16.2	-2.53	14.5	13.7	0.77
Wesley Johnson	59	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-14	16	13.8	16.3	-2.44	14.3	13.9	0.34
Jeremy Lin	59	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-14	16	13.8	16.3	-2.44	14.3	13.9	0.34
Nick Young	19	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-4	-4	14.5	14.9	-0.36	12.2	14.6	-2.35
Robert Sacre	42	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	0	-12	15.5	14.3	1.23	14.0	14.2	-0.27
Carlos Boozer	47	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	15.6	14.2	1.40	13.0	15.2	-2.25
Jordan Clarkson	56	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	0	-12	15.9	13.4	2.43	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Ryan Kelly	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	2	-16	16.3	13.8	2.44	13.9	14.3	-0.34
Wayne Ellington	50	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-3	-6	16.1	13.5	2.63	14.4	13.9	0.54
Jordan Hill	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	2	-16	16.4	13.7	2.77	13.8	14.4	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, CLE 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
SAS 119, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
ORL 103, MIL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%