inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 96 Excitement2.6 [1231] MVPJoakim Noah (CHI): +7.8%
Toronto Raptors 80 Comeback1.0 [708] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -6.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joakim Noah0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.00-0.011075%0.103-0.024100%0.01
Taj Gibson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04837%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02636%0.0000.002100%0.01
Tony Snell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Erik Murphy0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.000.051561%0.053-0.051100%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.061644%0.023-0.0300%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.001148%0.002-0.01367%-0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.070.000.08770%-0.001-0.016100%0.00
Marquis Teague-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02536%0.002-0.0310%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Julyan Stone00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02450%-0.0100.004100%0.01
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.190.000.222269%0.013-0.041070%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01540%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Dwight Buycks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.100.00-0.0650%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.010.000.071556%-0.004-0.05683%0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.00-0.04337%-0.014-0.05250%-0.01
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.0340%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.15-0.00-0.091520%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.632.516.826.11.728.2131.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +37.6%
CHI +1.3%
CHI +7.4%
CHI +0.8%
CHI +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHITORNBACHITORNBA
this game16.214.915.1104.386.0105.2
season16.315.9101.1107.2
opponent15.115.3104.299.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.815.117.617.416.2
TOR15.215.513.216.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng72720.450.050.41-0.1621-52616.514.91.5914.915.2-0.32
Kirk Hinrich76780.360.140.22-0.051421216.415.21.2214.616.7-2.13
Carlos Boozer59610.320.180.150.00115615.717.1-1.3513.817.1-3.23
Jimmy Butler63650.320.180.13-0.071331016.216.20.0315.114.50.64
Joakim Noah63630.290.210.08-0.151511416.515.41.0914.915.0-0.13
Taj Gibson40410.240.26-0.020.12412-816.216.20.0115.414.60.84
Mike Dunleavy54540.230.27-0.030.20115-1416.415.90.4715.214.60.53
Nazr Mohammed13130.140.36-0.22-0.00511-615.016.4-1.3917.114.62.48
Marquis Teague16150.140.36-0.220.08214-1215.216.4-1.2216.714.62.13
Tony Snell320.000.50-0.500.09-319-2216.016.2-0.2014.515.0-0.46
Erik Murphy110.000.50-0.500.09-319-223.016.3-13.3420.014.95.11

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julyan Stone230.00-0.500.50-0.093-192214.515.0-0.4616.016.2-0.20
Landry Fields1212-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-202412.215.3-3.1017.216.01.21
Steve Novak99-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-12817.914.63.2615.016.3-1.33
Quincy Acy3634-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-141215.414.70.7216.116.3-0.17
Dwight Buycks3232-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-1-151416.014.41.6516.715.90.80
Tyler Hansbrough4039-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-12813.316.2-2.8415.316.9-1.59
Terrence Ross3129-0.23-0.270.030.06-10-6-415.014.90.0816.016.3-0.34
Jonas Valanciunas5455-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-5-615.214.60.6616.515.80.64
Rudy Gay6362-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-2-1215.114.50.6116.316.00.34
DeMar DeRozan7070-0.33-0.17-0.150.03-12-4-815.214.11.1416.714.62.05
Amir Johnson4040-0.35-0.15-0.200.21-193-2215.214.70.5316.116.2-0.13
Kyle Lowry7675-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.07-10-6-414.417.3-2.8715.917.6-1.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 119, DET 820.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.3%
GSW 96, LAC 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,097.1%
CHI 105, CHA 750.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%