NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	2.6 [1243]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHI): +6.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	75		Comeback	1.1 [568]		LVP	Byron Mullens (CHA): -12.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	6	86%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.02	0.05	11	71%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	5	86%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marquis Teague	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	40%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	70%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.15	0.00	0.17	17	69%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.01	-0.06	9	19%	-0.07	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Byron Mullens	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.22	0.00	-0.09	12	8%	-0.10	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.7	35.2	0.1	23.8	1.6	27.2	115.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +42.5%

CHA -1.3%

CHA -3.9%

CHI +10.6%

CHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	15.4	120.7	86.2	104.1
season	16.6	15.6		101.7	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		109.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.1	15.1	18.9	16.0	16.7
CHA	18.0	16.2	13.9	17.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.41	33	-3	36	16.9	16.2	0.62	16.9	14.3	2.57
Nate Robinson	46	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	14	2	16.0	17.5	-1.47	16.8	16.0	0.80
Luol Deng	51	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	15	0	17.5	15.7	1.82	15.5	17.5	-1.95
Carlos Boozer	45	46	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	21	-12	17.8	15.6	2.11	15.9	16.9	-0.92
Richard Hamilton	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	21	-12	17.8	15.7	2.18	16.1	16.6	-0.43
Marco Belinelli	39	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.23	16	14	2	15.8	17.5	-1.75	17.3	15.6	1.68
Jimmy Butler	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.30	17	13	4	15.6	17.9	-2.33	16.6	16.1	0.47
Taj Gibson	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.22	14	16	-2	16.1	17.2	-1.07	17.1	15.8	1.31
Marquis Teague	41	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.28	14	16	-2	17.5	16.0	1.47	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Nazr Mohammed	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	27	-24	15.4	16.9	-1.57	15.3	16.5	-1.20
Vladimir Radmanovic	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	15.0	16.8	-1.82	13.6	16.5	-2.94
Daequan Cook	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	15.0	16.8	-1.82	13.6	16.5	-2.94

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Adrien	38	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-29	28	14.8	17.6	-2.85	17.1	16.5	0.56
Reggie Williams	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.34	-12	-18	6	17.6	16.0	1.66	15.8	17.0	-1.21
Brendan Haywood	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	-19	8	18.2	15.9	2.25	17.1	16.7	0.40
Jeff Taylor	45	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	-14	-2	16.4	16.3	0.11	18.1	15.5	2.63
Ramon Sessions	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-19	8	16.3	16.4	-0.07	17.6	15.9	1.75
Gerald Henderson	47	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-20	10	16.3	16.4	-0.06	16.0	17.7	-1.64
Bismack Biyombo	63	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.29	-20	-10	-10	16.1	17.0	-0.93	16.7	16.8	-0.03
Kemba Walker	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-18	6	15.6	18.5	-2.93	17.1	15.7	1.41
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	49	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.31	-26	-4	-22	16.5	16.2	0.23	15.2	18.7	-3.41
Byron Mullens	50	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.42	-31	1	-32	17.7	14.6	3.09	16.6	16.9	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 111, BOS 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
CHI 96, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%