NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	3.2 [1164]		MVP	Luther Head (HOU): +8.4%
Boston Celtics	80		Comeback	1.2 [1105]		LVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): -5.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luther Head	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.00	-0.08	5	80%	0.08	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.05	9	70%	0.10	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	10	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	16	60%	0.08	6	-0.10	10	80%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	1	0%	0.00	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	64%	-0.00	2	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.05	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.20	-0.00	-0.17	14	7%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	19	44%	0.01	4	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	32.5	15.7	28.0	2.4	28.3	134.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.1%

BOS -0.8%

HOU +13.5%

HOU +1.7%

HOU +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	16.9	15.4	120.7	86.0	104.5
season	15.6	15.5		103.6	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.1	15.3	15.8	14.0	14.2
BOS	16.7	14.7	16.2	20.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	77	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.33	28	3	25	15.0	10.6	4.36	16.5	19.0	-2.54
Tracy McGrady	68	69	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.39	30	1	29	13.6	16.2	-2.65	16.4	18.3	-1.97
Shane Battier	66	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	13	5	14.9	12.7	2.17	16.5	17.8	-1.28
Charles Hayes	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	14	3	14.3	14.2	0.14	17.6	15.9	1.73
Yao Ming	35	35	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	24	-17	14.0	14.4	-0.45	17.9	16.2	1.67
Dikembe Mutombo	46	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.28	18	13	5	14.9	13.6	1.33	14.8	18.9	-4.18
Juwan Howard	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.21	14	17	-3	14.3	14.2	0.03	17.1	16.6	0.51
Luther Head	51	51	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.11	9	22	-13	14.6	13.8	0.76	16.4	17.5	-1.06
Kirk Snyder	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	27	-23	10.1	14.6	-4.52	23.2	16.3	6.98
John Lucas III	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	27	-23	10.1	14.6	-4.52	23.2	16.3	6.98
Steve Novak	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	25	-19	9.4	14.5	-5.13	20.7	16.6	4.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	20	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-27	23	19.4	16.2	3.22	13.5	14.5	-0.98
Sebastian Telfair	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	-25	19	20.3	15.9	4.41	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Ryan Gomes	26	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-28	25	14.2	17.9	-3.77	16.0	13.6	2.35
Gerald Green	51	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.36	-18	-13	-5	16.6	17.2	-0.63	14.2	14.3	-0.05
Leon Powe	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.36	-20	-11	-9	17.8	16.4	1.44	15.0	13.9	1.10
Al Jefferson	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-16	1	16.5	17.8	-1.28	14.5	13.6	0.94
Paul Pierce	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	-18	5	16.4	17.9	-1.44	14.4	13.9	0.46
Rajon Rondo	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.43	-25	-6	-19	17.6	16.1	1.47	16.0	12.5	3.41
Kendrick Perkins	32	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-14	-3	17.6	16.5	1.10	12.4	15.3	-2.87
Brian Scalabrine	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	-11	-9	16.8	16.9	-0.11	12.9	15.4	-2.52
Delonte West	63	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-17	3	15.8	19.2	-3.39	13.8	15.2	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, CHA 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
TOR 112, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%