NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	119		Excitement	2.3 [1273]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +9.9%
Detroit Pistons	82		Comeback	1.1 [1032]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -5.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	10	72%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.22	0.00	0.12	18	70%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.00	-0.06	8	59%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	112%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	12	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	-0.04	10	77%	0.11	6	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	53%	-0.01	2	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	19	45%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	28.5	16.0	27.6	1.8	23.3	126.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +26.2%

BKN +9.2%

BKN +4.2%

BKN +8.1%

BKN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	15.4	136.8	92.1	104.1
season	16.5	15.7		106.5	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.0	16.3	18.4	17.1	16.9
DET	16.8	17.1	16.7	12.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	49	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.44	29	8	21	17.4	16.3	1.05	16.7	14.6	2.12
Reggie Evans	48	50	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.45	29	8	21	16.9	16.9	-0.03	16.4	15.0	1.39
Gerald Wallace	50	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.40	27	10	17	17.0	16.8	0.26	16.4	15.0	1.46
Brook Lopez	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	20	-3	16.6	17.2	-0.66	17.3	14.6	2.66
Joe Johnson	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	22	-7	16.7	17.1	-0.37	17.3	14.6	2.71
MarShon Brooks	45	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.42	22	15	7	17.1	16.7	0.37	14.6	17.3	-2.71
Andray Blatche	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	24	-11	17.0	16.9	0.09	15.0	16.5	-1.48
Mirza Teletovic	44	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.33	15	22	-7	17.2	16.6	0.60	14.6	17.1	-2.54
Jerry Stackhouse	37	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.18	10	27	-17	16.8	17.0	-0.26	15.0	16.4	-1.46
CJ Watson	38	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	29	-21	16.3	17.4	-1.05	14.6	16.7	-2.12

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viacheslav Kravtsov	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-32	27	11.5	16.6	-5.09	17.6	16.8	0.80
Charlie Villanueva	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.47	-17	-20	3	13.9	17.1	-3.27	17.2	16.7	0.54
Khris Middleton	41	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.27	-12	-25	13	13.7	17.6	-3.99	17.7	16.3	1.38
Kim English	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-32	27	13.5	17.3	-3.88	16.7	17.1	-0.31
Jose Calderon	15	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-26	15	18.3	15.3	3.04	14.4	17.5	-3.06
Jonas Jerebko	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.36	-19	-18	-1	15.8	15.8	0.04	16.6	17.1	-0.51
Will Bynum	55	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.52	-28	-9	-19	15.5	16.3	-0.79	17.8	15.6	2.25
Jason Maxiell	40	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-23	9	17.0	14.8	2.16	17.2	16.7	0.40
Rodney Stuckey	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.22	-21	-16	-5	16.8	13.5	3.32	16.5	18.0	-1.44
Kyle Singler	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.30	-25	-12	-13	17.9	13.0	4.86	16.7	17.3	-0.59
Greg Monroe	60	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.38	-28	-9	-19	16.8	13.7	3.09	16.7	17.3	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CHI 96, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SAS 107, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%