inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 97 Excitement2.3 [1272] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +17.7%
Houston Rockets 74 Comeback1.1 [991] LVPJuwan Howard (HOU): -7.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.180,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.010.011472%0.1800.00875%-0.00
Francisco Elson0.070,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.00765%0.081-0.01683%0.00
Beno Udrih0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.04775%0.0500.002100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02580%0.052-0.0100%0.00
Brent Barry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03362%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Michael Finley0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.031164%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03650%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Robert Horry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03233%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Melvin Ely0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.00-0.05828%-0.012-0.032100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.031056%0.0300.005100%0.01
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.011752%0.072-0.04683%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.011100%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03325%0.0000.0020%0.00
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.00-0.08125%-0.003-0.00250%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02233%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03333%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00650%0.013-0.062100%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.01944%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01732%-0.042-0.03540%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.12.429.415.527.52.727.4134.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +30.1%
SAS +5.1%
HOU -1.8%
SAS +16.0%
SAS +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASHOUNBASASHOUNBA
this game17.115.815.4110.285.1104.5
season16.215.6107.5103.6
opponent15.715.499.298.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.417.517.917.417.1
HOU18.012.517.216.115.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson61620.480.020.46-0.4030-73717.216.90.3316.214.91.33
Bruce Bowen60600.410.090.32-0.272302316.817.6-0.7716.713.92.86
Tim Duncan49500.370.130.25-0.07158716.617.7-1.1916.714.62.10
Brent Barry28290.330.170.15-0.292121916.817.2-0.4318.014.73.31
Jacque Vaughn50490.280.220.050.07716-916.817.5-0.6916.215.30.91
Beno Udrih50490.220.28-0.05-0.131211117.516.60.8815.016.8-1.80
Robert Horry23230.170.33-0.17-0.04716-917.616.90.7214.016.5-2.48
Manu Ginobili45440.130.37-0.240.01419-1517.017.2-0.1615.016.7-1.63
Michael Finley36330.130.37-0.25-0.14914-517.117.10.0514.916.4-1.48
Matt Bonner980.000.50-0.500.12-427-3119.216.82.3913.616.1-2.43
Melvin Ely12120.000.50-0.500.12-427-3117.417.00.3914.016.1-2.12
Fabricio Oberto1716-0.010.51-0.510.14-528-3317.417.00.4114.616.1-1.47

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Lucas III13140.00-0.500.50-0.124-273114.516.1-1.5217.916.90.92
Steve Novak13140.00-0.500.50-0.124-273114.516.1-1.5217.916.90.92
Vassilis Spanoulis2122-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-222116.115.70.3517.417.00.38
Kirk Snyder5354-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-222114.517.9-3.4217.516.41.14
Jake Tsakalidis3535-0.08-0.420.35-0.163-262915.316.2-0.9116.717.3-0.56
Charles Hayes1718-0.13-0.370.250.17-10-13315.915.80.0717.317.00.25
Dikembe Mutombo2019-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-11-116.915.51.3916.117.3-1.24
Luther Head4445-0.32-0.18-0.130.27-20-3-1716.415.31.1317.316.90.43
Rafer Alston5958-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-16-7-915.017.6-2.5717.616.21.39
Tracy McGrady5959-0.41-0.09-0.310.21-21-2-1916.514.32.2216.618.1-1.53
Juwan Howard4041-0.42-0.08-0.330.23-22-1-2118.113.94.1616.517.6-1.06
Shane Battier6161-0.48-0.02-0.450.20-230-2315.616.3-0.6816.917.4-0.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 109, UTA 980.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,097.2%
BOS 119, MEM 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
MIA 101, NJN 780.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%