NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	101		Excitement	2.6 [1238]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +12.4%
New Jersey Nets	78		Comeback	1.1 [1211]		LVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): -6.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.00	0.02	10	82%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	57%	0.08	1	-0.01	12	67%	-0.02
James Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	69%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	12	56%	0.07	5	-0.07	12	83%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	17	51%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	10%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	8	68%	0.04	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	14	37%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	9	26%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.5	27.9	15.8	29.6	2.4	27.5	134.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +50.7%

MIA +6.9%

NJN -14.7%

MIA +6.7%

MIA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NJN	NBA	MIA	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	17.7	15.5	114.8	89.7	105.7
season	16.0	16.4		109.0	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.2	14.1	15.2	17.3	15.2
NJN	20.1	18.6	15.4	17.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	49	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	4	15	15.2	15.3	-0.09	18.4	16.9	1.54
LeBron James	54	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	5	13	14.5	16.4	-1.87	17.4	18.3	-0.88
James Jones	57	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	8	7	14.6	16.3	-1.73	18.5	16.5	2.00
Chris Bosh	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	10	3	14.9	15.6	-0.71	17.4	18.1	-0.64
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	35	33	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	7	9	13.7	16.2	-2.47	19.1	16.9	2.25
Joel Anthony	42	42	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	14	-5	16.9	13.7	3.21	18.1	17.4	0.67
Eddie House	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	11	1	15.0	15.4	-0.32	18.3	17.1	1.19
Carlos Arroyo	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	18	-13	16.6	13.5	3.17	17.3	18.2	-0.92
Udonis Haslem	46	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	15	-7	15.0	15.4	-0.43	17.4	18.1	-0.72
Jamaal Magloire	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	16.3	15.1	1.21	12.5	18.1	-5.61
Jerry Stackhouse	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	16.3	15.1	1.21	12.5	18.1	-5.61
Mario Chalmers	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	16.3	15.1	1.21	12.5	18.1	-5.61

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-24	25	15.0	18.2	-3.20	18.1	14.6	3.49
Damion James	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-20	17	15.9	19.0	-3.18	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Johan Petro	25	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.12	-8	-15	7	16.5	18.2	-1.75	13.9	15.8	-1.87
Kris Humphries	38	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-21	19	15.8	19.2	-3.39	16.4	14.3	2.19
Joe Smith	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-15	7	17.9	17.7	0.20	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Jordan Farmar	29	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-10	-3	18.4	17.4	1.03	14.1	15.8	-1.66
Brook Lopez	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-13	3	18.1	17.2	0.86	15.2	15.2	0.04
Anthony Morrow	52	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-13	3	17.7	17.8	-0.08	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Terrence Williams	49	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-9	-5	17.8	17.6	0.16	15.4	14.9	0.58
Devin Harris	53	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-11	-1	18.1	17.1	1.00	14.9	15.6	-0.67
Derrick Favors	40	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-5	-13	19.4	16.3	3.10	15.1	15.3	-0.13
Travis Outlaw	39	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.17	-18	-5	-13	19.7	16.1	3.57	15.9	14.7	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, CLE 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DAL 92, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%