NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	87		Excitement	5.2 [775]		MVP	Jon Barry (DEN): +6.5%
Golden State Warriors	96		Comeback	1.0 [1261]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -19.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.03	16	59%	0.05	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.05
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	14	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	59%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	11	38%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	0.02	14	37%	-0.08	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	87%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	15	42%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.03	0.02	14	61%	0.05	6	-0.11	13	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	19	35%	-0.06	3	-0.04	5	60%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	29.3	15.8	27.0	2.5	38.5	139.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.5%

GSW +8.5%

GSW +10.6%

GSW +0.5%

DEN -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	13.8	16.8	15.7	92.6	102.1	100.5
season	14.9	16.1		101.6	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.4	14.2	15.0	11.8	13.8
GSW	19.9	16.4	16.3	15.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-13	17	14.3	13.7	0.57	14.5	17.2	-2.67
Jon Barry	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-11	13	14.0	13.7	0.36	14.7	18.0	-3.34
Voshon Lenard	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	0	-9	13.6	14.2	-0.54	17.4	15.6	1.83
Rodney White	27	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.16	-3	-6	3	14.8	13.4	1.37	13.1	18.3	-5.15
Carmelo Anthony	73	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-6	3	13.3	15.4	-2.10	17.1	15.9	1.12
Earl Boykins	41	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-9	9	13.9	13.8	0.10	15.1	18.2	-3.15
Nene	74	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	4	-17	14.2	12.3	1.84	17.7	13.6	4.05
Andre Miller	68	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	2	-13	13.6	14.4	-0.86	17.5	15.2	2.37
Marcus Camby	78	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	3	-15	13.7	14.4	-0.77	18.2	10.5	7.70

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	81	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-3	15	16.5	18.7	-2.15	14.2	11.2	2.98
Jason Richardson	90	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-2	13	17.0	14.0	2.97	13.7	14.8	-1.06
Brian Cardinal	58	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	-7	23	17.4	16.0	1.36	15.4	11.2	4.22
Clifford Robinson	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	0	9	16.6	17.8	-1.19	13.6	14.6	-0.94
Erick Dampier	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-5	19	18.5	13.5	5.01	13.2	15.0	-1.77
Calbert Cheaney	67	68	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	11	-13	16.0	18.9	-2.87	13.4	14.9	-1.50
Adonal Foyle	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	15	-21	17.9	16.7	1.16	14.3	13.7	0.59
Avery Johnson	20	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	15	-21	14.0	17.6	-3.54	10.8	14.5	-3.74
Mickael Pietrus	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	12	-15	16.6	16.9	-0.29	14.6	13.7	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, DET 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
PHX 105, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	93.7%
TOR 91, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%