NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	79		Excitement	4.6 [916]		MVP	Luke Kennard (DET): +22.0%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	1.0 [520]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -9.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.06	4	-0.08	9	100%	0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	15	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.08	0.03	12	77%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	14	79%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.06	0.03	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Montero	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	13	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Buycks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	25.3	14.7	24.4	2.4	26.2	115.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +49.9%

SAS -3.8%

SAS -4.1%

DET +7.8%

DET +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DET	NBA	SAS	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	14.7	84.0	98.9	107.5
season	15.5	14.9		106.7	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		106.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.2	16.3	17.9	12.6	15.9
DET	12.1	16.5	14.2	16.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dejounte Murray	25	26	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.07	11	-25	36	12.0	17.3	-5.35	17.8	13.5	4.23
Kyle Anderson	36	38	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.08	8	-22	30	15.6	16.1	-0.55	16.0	13.8	2.20
Brandon Paul	21	21	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.10	7	-21	28	12.4	16.9	-4.50	17.4	13.9	3.50
Joffrey Lauvergne	20	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-15	16	15.1	16.1	-1.05	14.1	14.9	-0.76
Manu Ginobili	36	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-13	12	17.5	14.9	2.55	14.7	14.7	-0.04
Davis Bertans	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-13	12	11.7	16.5	-4.75	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Bryn Forbes	47	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-13	12	16.0	15.9	0.11	15.2	14.2	0.99
Patty Mills	35	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-8	2	16.5	15.6	0.94	14.5	14.8	-0.38
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-3	-8	15.6	16.6	-0.94	14.8	14.5	0.30
Pau Gasol	42	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	0	-14	17.7	14.5	3.19	13.6	15.6	-1.96
Danny Green	37	38	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	6	-26	16.4	15.6	0.75	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Tony Parker	41	40	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.07	-22	8	-30	17.0	15.1	1.99	13.1	15.9	-2.76
Kawhi Leonard	55	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.04	-21	7	-28	16.8	14.7	2.15	14.2	15.4	-1.24

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	69	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.07	20	-6	26	14.7	14.7	-0.01	15.4	17.5	-2.11
Luke Kennard	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-5	24	15.3	13.7	1.56	16.4	15.2	1.23
Andre Drummond	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-2	18	14.7	14.9	-0.23	15.5	17.4	-1.87
Reggie Bullock	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	3	8	15.0	14.0	1.07	15.7	16.4	-0.76
Dwight Buycks	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	12	-10	14.5	14.8	-0.26	17.1	15.3	1.75
Anthony Tolliver	53	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	13	-12	13.8	16.0	-2.20	17.1	14.5	2.65
Ish Smith	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	2	10	14.8	14.5	0.26	15.3	17.1	-1.75
Eric Moreland	8	8	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.04	3	11	-8	14.4	14.7	-0.37	19.1	15.6	3.50
Henry Ellenson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	16.0	14.7	1.33	4.0	16.2	-12.18
Luis Montero	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	13.7	14.8	-1.01	7.7	16.3	-8.54
Boban Marjanovic	8	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	15	-16	15.0	14.7	0.31	18.9	15.6	3.28
Langston Galloway	32	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	19	-24	14.7	14.7	-0.04	15.8	16.0	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, POR 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
IND 87, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DET 69, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%