inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 69 Excitement4.3 [944] MVPJermaine O'Neal (IND): +10.7%
Indiana Pacers 81 Comeback1.0 [1191] LVPChauncey Billups (DET): -18.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elden Campbell0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.030.014100%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Bob Sura0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Corliss Williamson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.07-0.020.041168%0.031-0.033100%0.01
Zeljko Rebraca-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Darvin Ham-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.13-0.00-0.051035%-0.062-0.02617%-0.04
Mehmet Okur-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.0240%-0.062-0.0400%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.031343%-0.063-0.06978%0.01
Chauncey Billups-0.190,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.18-0.05-0.051333%-0.064-0.12786%0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.010.011767%0.131-0.038100%0.02
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.02-0.011367%0.142-0.047100%0.04
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.003100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.01-0.06425%0.0400.0000%0.00
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.01-0.041433%-0.0200.002100%0.02
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.01-0.05928%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01733%-0.031-0.021100%0.01
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.0220%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01525%-0.061-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.532.615.724.52.328.5130.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +25.3%
IND +2.1%
DET -3.6%
IND +24.1%
IND +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETINDNBADETINDNBA
this game17.615.915.781.293.1100.5
season16.216.799.2101.1
opponent15.716.094.792.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET19.217.517.016.717.6
IND15.014.616.517.615.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elden Campbell38390.00-0.500.51-0.114-162017.218.0-0.8415.716.1-0.40
Zeljko Rebraca78-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-131419.317.51.8113.916.1-2.21
Bob Sura89-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-121216.917.7-0.8315.615.9-0.37
Darvin Ham1111-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-121214.918.0-3.1219.515.44.09
Chucky Atkins2932-0.20-0.300.09-0.12-3-9618.417.21.1514.616.6-1.99
Corliss Williamson5657-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.19-3-9617.218.5-1.3616.215.30.84
Richard Hamilton7072-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.13-7-5-217.518.4-0.9415.916.0-0.14
Ben Wallace7476-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.12-8-4-417.320.0-2.7316.015.10.91
Chauncey Billups6463-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.01-120-1217.717.50.2016.414.51.97
Mehmet Okur2121-0.38-0.12-0.250.06-153-1819.017.21.8916.115.80.28
Tayshaun Prince4747-0.560.06-0.62-0.06-175-2218.716.32.4115.216.7-1.55

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace56560.59-0.090.690.0718-62416.614.61.9317.617.7-0.05
Jamaal Tinsley45450.450.050.40-0.0517-52216.814.91.9917.617.60.04
Jeff Foster48470.380.120.27-0.0515-31816.215.50.6317.318.0-0.68
Jermaine O'Neal68680.340.160.180.021111016.214.71.5417.617.7-0.10
Al Harrington53520.330.170.160.2148-415.716.2-0.5718.017.01.07
Reggie Miller55540.200.30-0.09-0.0384416.215.40.8117.517.9-0.39
Fred Jones33300.180.32-0.130.18012-1215.216.3-1.0817.917.50.43
Anthony Johnson42400.050.45-0.400.20-517-2214.916.8-1.9917.617.6-0.04
Austin Croshere880.010.49-0.470.04-113-1412.516.2-3.7318.517.50.97
Scot Pollard2725-0.050.55-0.600.15-719-2614.816.4-1.6117.117.8-0.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 86, ATL 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
IND 87, TOR 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
BOS 93, CLE 1150.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.9%