NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	5.7 [657]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (TOR): +15.8%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.0 [1171]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -19.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	14	61%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.03	25	54%	0.01	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	12	41%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	10	42%	-0.06	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.07	0.07	14	42%	-0.14	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.03	11	65%	0.14	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.03
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	11	54%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	19	48%	0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.08
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	42%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.03	16	57%	0.06	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.6	29.4	15.7	26.6	2.0	29.0	128.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.9%

UTA +1.8%

TOR -6.1%

UTA +2.0%

TOR -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.4	15.3	96.8	109.5	106.0
season	15.0	15.3		109.6	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.5	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.7	13.2	16.9	15.7	15.0
UTA	16.0	15.6	14.4	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-12	11	13.8	15.2	-1.39	15.7	15.4	0.33
DeMar DeRozan	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.11	-10	-3	-7	16.4	14.4	2.04	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Jarrett Jack	41	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-9	5	13.5	16.2	-2.67	15.8	15.1	0.72
Marco Belinelli	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-14	15	13.9	17.5	-3.61	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Amir Johnson	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-8	3	14.0	16.1	-2.13	14.4	16.4	-2.01
Chris Bosh	70	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	15.0	15.0	0.00	15.9	13.9	2.02
Hedo Turkoglu	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	15.5	13.1	2.49	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Andrea Bargnani	70	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-1	-11	15.8	13.0	2.80	15.6	14.9	0.76
Jose Calderon	62	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	2	-17	16.1	12.9	3.24	15.6	15.1	0.51

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	84	85	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-3	19	15.4	16.0	-0.64	15.4	11.2	4.22
Carlos Boozer	76	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	-9	31	15.0	17.3	-2.29	15.6	12.7	2.87
Paul Millsap	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	5	3	15.9	14.8	1.04	14.1	16.5	-2.40
Andrei Kirilenko	65	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	10	-7	15.6	15.0	0.58	14.0	17.4	-3.38
Eric Maynor	47	46	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	10	-7	16.3	14.6	1.76	13.7	16.3	-2.55
Ronnie Brewer	46	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	6	1	14.7	16.2	-1.51	16.0	14.2	1.79
Kyrylo Fesenko	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	8	-3	15.2	15.6	-0.34	16.5	14.2	2.32
Wesley Matthews	51	48	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.04	3	10	-7	15.3	15.6	-0.30	15.7	14.3	1.45
Kosta Koufos	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	16.4	15.3	1.17	13.4	15.3	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 80, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
DEN 87, GSW 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.6%
DEN 89, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%