NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	89		Excitement	5.6 [692]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +16.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.3 [951]		LVP	Zendon Hamilton (DEN): -10.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	22	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Voshon Lenard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	-0.02	14	53%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	12	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Zendon Hamilton	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	15	39%	-0.09	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	17	67%	0.23	3	-0.06	12	75%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.03	16	50%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	64%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	11	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.8	26.7	16.0	21.5	1.8	28.4	121.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.2%

DEN -0.6%

LAC +3.1%

DEN -1.2%

LAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.6	102.3	117.2	102.3
season	16.1	15.9		99.7	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.7	17.0	18.4	16.1	17.3
LAC	13.1	17.3	15.8	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	54	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-7	1	16.8	18.2	-1.34	17.1	13.9	3.22
Voshon Lenard	42	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-13	13	16.6	18.0	-1.45	17.3	14.3	3.01
James Posey	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	2	-17	17.1	17.7	-0.62	13.5	18.9	-5.46
Avery Johnson	48	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-13	13	16.6	18.2	-1.65	16.4	15.0	1.36
Calbert Cheaney	47	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	2	-17	18.0	16.6	1.38	15.9	15.7	0.22
Zendon Hamilton	57	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-1	-11	19.0	14.2	4.76	15.4	16.5	-1.06
Nick Van Exel	79	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-2	-9	17.4	16.6	0.77	15.4	20.0	-4.65
Ryan Bowen	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-7	1	16.9	18.1	-1.12	15.8	15.7	0.18

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-5	23	15.4	18.0	-2.61	17.3	17.2	0.11
Elton Brand	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-4	21	16.1	13.7	2.36	17.3	17.7	-0.50
Quentin Richardson	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	4	5	15.5	16.8	-1.22	16.1	22.1	-5.97
Jeff McInnis	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	11	-9	17.1	13.8	3.31	15.8	19.6	-3.82
Darius Miles	34	34	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	7	-1	15.1	16.2	-1.14	16.4	17.9	-1.59
Earl Boykins	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.14	9	4	5	13.9	17.2	-3.29	19.6	15.7	3.91
Michael Olowokandi	65	65	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	10	-7	15.8	15.8	-0.05	17.9	15.6	2.32
Corey Maggette	27	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	12	-11	17.5	15.0	2.52	20.2	16.0	4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 80, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 82, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
TOR 91, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%